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Donald Cerrone vs. Yancy Medeiros UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 2/18/18

Medeiros vs. Cerrone

UFC: Sunday, February 18, 2018 (Frank Erwin Center)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Donald Cerrone and Yancy Medeiros fight Sunday during UFC Fight Night 126 at the Frank Erwin Center. 

Donald Cerrone enters this fight with a 32-10 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by submission. Cerrone has lost each of his last three fights and is coming off a October loss to Darren Till. Cerrone is averaging 4.22 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 48 percent. Cerrone is averaging 1.37 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 38.2 percent. Cerrone is kind of in must-win mode, as he’s riding a three-fight losing streak and his last victory came in 2016 against Matt Brown. Cerrone has been knocked out in two of his last three fights, and we’ve now seen him get knocked out three times in the last three years. When in good form, Cerrone is a versatile fighter who is a well decorated kick boxer, highly effective in Muay Thai and is comfortable on the canvas to the point he has 16 career submission victories. There’s not much Cerrone can’t do in the octagon, and he’s won 24 of his 32 fights by some sort of stoppage. Cerrone has finished his last five victories with his last decision coming in 2015 against Benson Henderson. It’s just a matter of getting back to being that fighter and snapping out of this current funk. This will be Cerrone’s second career fight in Texas.

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Donald Cerrone vs. Yancy Medeiros UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 2/18/18

USA TODAY Sports

Yancy Medeiros enters this fight with a 15-4 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by knockout. Medeiros has won four of his last five fights and is coming off a December win over Alex Oliveira. Medeiros is averaging 4.35 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 36.4 percent. Medeiros is averaging 0.16 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 33.3 percent. Medeiros is riding a three-fight winning streak and is coming off a bout in which he earned fight of the night honors. Medeiros has a chance to win four straight fights for the first time since 2009-10. Medeiros is an energetic Hawaiian who has a quick and powerful striking game with each of his last two fights ending in knockout, and he’s also quick to find a submission hold if there’s an opportunity. Medeiros pounces on whatever his opponent gives him, which is why 12 of his 15 career victories have ended in finishes. Medeiros has  brawler feel to him, which is dangerous on the defensive side, but when the offense is working, he’s a highly entertaining and highly effective fighter. This will be Medeiros’ first career fight in Texas. 

Medeiros is a super talented fighter and needs to keep this momentum going if he’s going to keep climbing the ladder and getting placed on these big cards. Everybody knows what Cerrone is capable of, but I’m not sure how anybody can back him in his current form. Some would say it’s only a matter of time before he snaps out of this funk, but his chin is questionable and you can only go off past results for so long before folks start questioning if you’ve lost it. Medeiros has the power striking, the athleticism and the aggressive offense to give Cerrone serious problems if he’s not on top of his game. And based on his last three bouts, Cerrone may have lost a step.

Give me Medeiros to keep this momentum going.

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