Jimi Manuwa vs. Jan Blachowicz UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 3/17/18
Blachowicz vs. Manuwa
UFC: Saturday, March 17, 2018 (The O2 Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: UFC Fight Pass
Jimi Manuwa and Jan Blachowicz fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 127 at The O2 Arena.
Jimi Manuwa enters this fight with a 17-3 record and has won 88 percent of his fights by knockout. Manuwa has split his last six fights and is coming off a July loss to Volkan Oezdemir. Manuwa is averaging 3.55 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 58.9 percent. Manuwa is averaging 0.72 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 25 percent. Manuwa has been a bit of a hit or miss his last few fights, and he hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time in his career. All three of Manuwa’s career losses have come by knockout, so there is reason for his opponents to think there’s a clear weakness in the 38-year-old. As for his skill set, Manuwa is what he is, as he has an insane reach of 79 inches and 15 of his 17 victories have come by knockout. In fact, 18 of Manuwa’s 20 fights overall have ended in the stoppage, so there’s no secret the style of fight he wants. Manuwa is patient, a highly accurate striker and has possibly the most one-punch knockout potential in the sport. Manuwa has just three career UFC takedowns, so as long as he can remain standing up, he likes his chances. This will be Manuwa’s 18th career fight in England, where he’s fighting out of these days.
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Jan Blachowicz enters this fight with a 21-7 record and has won 38 percent of his fights by submission. Blachowicz has split last eight fights and is coming off a December win over Jared Cannonier. Blachowicz is averaging 3.39 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 49.7 percent. Blachowicz is averaging 1.65 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 64.7 percent. Blachowicz has put together back-to-back victories and has a shot at three straight wins for the first time since his KSW days. Blachowicz hasn’t lost since his fight against Patrick Cummins, and this will be his sixth fight since 2016. Blachowicz is a controlled striker who throws a lot of punches from different angles and is impressive with his legs as well. Despite just one submission win in his last 12 fights, Blachowicz is a polished wrestler who is comfortable on the canvas and capable of wearing down his opponent, and he has 11 takedowns under the UFC banner. The issue is that Blachowicz doesn’t exactly do anything spectacular to separate himself and has seen 13 of his 28 fights go to the judges. This will be Blachowicz’s first career fight in England.
Manuwa won the first meeting between these two back in 2015, as he landed 81 strikes compared to Blachowicz’s 58 strikes, however, Blachowicz landed one more significant strike. There was no takedown in the fight. As for who wins the rematch, I have to side with Manuwa yet again. In a striking contest, you have to like the guy who has more finish potential and the stronger hands, and there’s no question that’s Manuwa. Blachowicz is the more balanced fighter and could make things interesting if he takes this fight to the canvas, but in a pure standup fight, the odds aren’t in his favor. Not to mention, Manuwa is also 16-1 when fighting in England, with that only loss coming against Alexander Gustafsson, a fight that earned fight of the night honors.
Give me Manuwa to win this bout.