Renato Moicano vs. Calvin Kattar UFC 223 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 4/7/18
Kattar vs. Moicano
UFC: Saturday, April 7, 2018 (Barclays Center)
The Line: Moicano +140 / Kattar -160 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Renato Moicano and Calvin Kattar fight Saturday during UFC 223 at the Barclays Center.
Renato Moicano enters this fight with a 11-1-1 record and has won 45 percent of his fights by submission. Moicano has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a July loss to Brian Ortega. Moicano is averaging 5.26 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44.5 percent. Moicano is averaging 1.46 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 55.5 percent. Moicano is coming off the first loss of his career, a bout that earned fight of the night honors and a fight that he was probably winning on the cards before being submitted in the third round. Moicano was impressive until the end, landing 109 significant strikes and producing two takedowns. Moicano has overall been very sharp in his UFC career and has proved to be an athletic fighter who has displayed good accuracy in his strikes and very aggressive standing up. Moicano is also really decorated in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, has had great success with his takedown attempts and has won five of his career fights by the rear-naked choke. Moicano is a slippery, lengthy fighter who is hard to get comfortable against and has the stamina to be effective late. This will be Moicano’s third career fight in the United States.
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Calvin Kattar enters this fight with a 18-2 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by decision. Kattar has won each of his last 10 fights and is coming off a January win over Shane Burgos. Kattar is averaging 6.27 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45.2 percent. Kattar is averaging 1.17 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Kattar is clearly somebody trying to quickly climb the rankings, as this will be his third fight since last July. Kattar hasn’t lost since his 2010 meeting with Don Carlo-Clauss, and he’s 2-0 under the UFC banner. Kattar is coming off a knockout victory that earned fight of the night honors, and he was far more impressive than he was in his debut against Andre Fili. Kattar has proven to be a really polished striker with great boxing skills and the ability to land clean, powerful strikes. Kattar counters well and has to like his chances against anybody standing up. Kattar is also a good grappler and can more than hold his own on the canvas, and he’s well conditioned, which has helped him win each of his last eight fights that have ended in the third round. Kattar has only been finished once, which was back in 2008 against James Jones, when he was getting his feet wet.
Moicano is going to be really focused in this fight after losing a heartbreaker, his first career loss, and a fight he probably wins if it goes the distance. That’s enough to consider him as a live underdog in this fight. However, Kattar is coming off a truly impressive victory in which he schooled Burgos in a stand up battle and landed big strike after big strike. While he’s still proving himself on this level and things can change, Kattar is a fighter going places quickly if his last bout is a sign of things to come. I’m impressed by the American and am not going to bet against him with this cheap price.
I like Kattar to win his 11th straight fight.