Vitor Belfort vs. Lyoto Machida UFC 224 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/12/18
Machida vs. Belfort
UFC: Saturday, May 12, 2018 (Jeunesse Arena)
The Line: Machida -230 / Belfort +190 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Vitor Belfort and Lyoto Machida fight Saturday during UFC 224 at the Jeunesse Arena.
Vitor Belfort enters this fight with a 26-13 record and has won 69 percent of his fights by knockout. Belfort has split last 10 fights and is coming off a June win over Nate Marquardt. Belfort is averaging 1.63 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.9 percent. Belfort is averaging 1.05 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 60 percent. Belfort was expected to have his retirement fight earlier this year against Uriah Hall, but the bout was cancelled due to symptoms that came from cutting weight. At almost 41 years old, it’s going to be interesting to see how Belfort bounces back from fainting and suffering seizures. When in good form, Belfort is a balanced fighter who has a proven ground game, but its his striking ability that's most dangerous, as he has one punch knockout ability and is great with his legs. An explosive fighter with a boxing background, Belfort is still a serious threat in the octagon despite his struggles, age and inconsistencies over the years. This will be Belfort’s 10th career fight in Brazil, his birthplace.
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Lyoto Machida enters this fight with a 23-8 record and has won 52 percent of his fights by decision. Machida has split his last 16 fights and is coming off a February win over Eryk Anders. Machida is averaging 2.61 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 53.3 percent. Machida is averaging 1.23 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 65.3 percent. Machida has been hit or miss the last several years, and you have to wonder if age is catching up to him as he approaches 40 years old. This is a quick turnaround for Machida, who just fought a couple of months ago, and he hopes he can win back-to-back fights for the first time since 2013-14. When at the top of his game, Machida is one of the tougher fighters in UFC history due to his offensive speed and deep background in karate. Machida can hold his own on the canvas if need be, but he is most dangerous on his feet where he can land accurate strikes and three of his last six wins have come by knockout. Six of Machida’s last 10 wins have been finishes, but of course, they’ve been few and far between. This will be Machida’s eighth career fight in Brazil, his birthplace.
If this fight was going to happen, it should have happened years ago when both guys were actually good and not thinking about retirement. Belfort may or may not retire after this bout, and Machida says he’s no longer thinking about retiring after snapping a three-fight losing streak. Yay? As for who wins, I’m not laying heavy juice with a guy in Machida who has looked awful the last several years to say the least. Belfort still has the power advantage and still only needs one strike to land in order for this thing to end. Not to mention Machida has been knocked out twice in his last three fights.
Give me Belfort based on the value.