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Alexa Grasso vs. Tatiana Suarez UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/19/18

Suarez vs. Grasso

UFC: Saturday, May 19, 2018 (Movistar Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Alexa Grasso and Tatiana Suarez fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 129 at the Movistar Arena.

Alexa Grasso enters this fight with a 10-1 record and has won 50 percent of her fights by decision. Grasso has won five of her last six fights and is coming off a August win over Randa Markos. Grasso is averaging 4.64 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42 percent. Grasso is averaging 0.33 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Grasso bounced back from her loss to Felice Herrig with a high split decision in which she landed 64 strikes and managed to survive four takedowns. It wasn’t the best performance ever for Grasso, but she showed her ability on the canvas and she can still be effective for three rounds due to her conditioning. Grasso has raw skills for a 24-year-old, and she’s just getting her feet wet on the UFC side. Grasso is a brawler at heart, as she’s at her best when throwing powerful strikes and has displayed one-punch knockout power in the past. Grasso has shown flashes of a decent ground game and usually defends takedowns well, but she wants a stand up fight where she can unleash power punches and really hurt her opponent. This will be Grasso’s first career fight in Chile. 

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Alexa Grasso vs. Tatiana Suarez UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/19/18

Miguel Tovar-USA TODAY Sports

Tatiana Suarez enters this fight with a 6-0 record and has won 50 percent of her fights by submission. This will be Suarez’s second fight since 2017 and is coming off a November win over Viviane Pereira. Suarez is averaging 4.65 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 69.6 percent. Suarez is averaging 5.61 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 87.5 percent. Suarez is now 2-0 under the UFC banner and is coming off a performance in which she landed 144 total strikes and produced four takedowns. Suarez is a tough fighter with a background in wrestling and a polished submission game that has ended two of her last four opponents. Suarez is relentless with her takedowns and is a beast when she gains top position. The concern is that Suarez goes a long time between fights, as she has just one fight under her belt since winning the The Ultimate Fighter 23 Strawweight Tournament. That’s a disadvantage when fighting somebody who is consistently active and eager to climb the rankings. This will be Suarez’s first career fight outside of the United States. 

This has the makings of being the best fight on the card and you could make a strong case for either fighter. Suarez is a wrestling machine who would have the clear advantage on the canvas and is slightly longer as well. Grasso is a stand up brawler with knockout ability and can strike most opponents to death if given the chance. It’s a toss-up, but I’m giving the edge to Grasso. I’ve been high on the Mexican since her UFC debut a couple years ago, and she proved a lot in her last match. Despite being taken down and in trouble most of the fight, Grasso toughed it out and found a way to win. That’s key when facing a fighter who will try to do similar things as her last opponent. 

I have Grasso winning this fight.

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