Arnold Allen vs. Mads Burnell UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/27/18
Burnell vs. Allen
UFC: Sunday, May 27, 2018 (Echo Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Arnold Allen and Mads Burnell fight Sunday during UFC Fight Night 130 at the Echo Arena.
Arnold Allen enters this fight with a 12-1 record and has won 42 percent of his fights by knockout. Allen has won each of his last five fights and is coming off a March win over Makwan Amirkhani. Allen is averaging 2.06 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 34.4 percent. Allen is averaging 2.88 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 57.1 percent. Allen is now 3-0 under the UFC banner and will fight for the first time in over a year. Allen is coming off a fight in which he survived three submission attempts and landed 75 total strikes. at just 24 years old, Allen has shown pop in his strikes but also the willingness and aggressiveness with his takedowns. Allen is a balanced fighter with a background in kickboxing and wrestling. Allen has produced eight takedowns in three fights, and of course, had the submission victory over Alan Omer in his UFC debut. Allen hasn’t lost a fight since his 2014 fight against Marcin Wrzosek. This will be Allen’s 10th career fight in England, his birthplace.
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Mads Burnell enters this fight with a 9-2 record and has won 56 percent of his fights by submission. Burnell has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a January win over Mike Santiago. Burnell is averaging 1.13 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.8 percent. Burnell is averaging 1.7 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 42.8 percent. Burnell is 1-1 in the UFC and will fight for already the second time this year. Burnell is coming off a fight in which he landed 110 strikes and produced three takedowns, winning by decision. Burnell is capable of holding his own standing up, as he mixes combinations well, but he lacks the knockout power to truly be effective. Burnell is much better with his takedowns and grappling, as he has good body control and impressive jiu jistu skills. Three of Burnell’s last six victories have come by submission and he’s won all four of his career decisions. This will be Burnell’s second career fight in England.
Both of these guys are young fighters who have a chance to really move up the rankings rather quickly due to their ability. Burnell has been much more active, is the more accurate striker and is dangerous on the canvas. However, Allen is the more polished fighter at this stage of his career, as he controls the octagon better and has much more success with his takedowns. Allen also has more power in his hands and has won three of his last seven fights by knockout. The only question I have is the rust, as Allen hasn’t fought in over 13 months.
Either way, I’m siding with the home crowd favorite.