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Jake Ellenberger vs. Ben Saunders UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 6/1/18

Saunders vs. Ellenberger

UFC: Friday, June 1, 2018 (Adirondack Bank Center)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Jake Ellenberger and Ben Saunders fight Friday during UFC Fight Night 131 at the Adirondack Bank Center.

Jake Ellenberger enters this fight with a 31-13 record and has won 68 percent of his fights by knockout. Ellenberger has lost seven of his last nine fights and is coming off a April loss to Mike Perry. Ellenberger is averaging 2.43 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 38.5 percent. Ellenberger is averaging 2.1 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 47.9 percent. Ellenberger continues what has been awful form, as he’s won just three fights in the last five years and has been knocked out in his last two fights. Ellenberger is somehow still getting booked on these solid cards despite these losses piling up and it’s quite amazing. When in good form, Ellenberger is a heavy handed striker with raw knockout power, has a background in wrestling and has six career submissions. Ellenberger is a balanced fighter who usually brings excitement to the octagon and is capable of ending things on his terms. The problem is Ellenberger holds no value betting wise considering he’s lost eight of his last 12 fights. This will be Ellenberger’s first career fight in New York. 

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Jake Ellenberger vs. Ben Saunders UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 6/1/18

Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports

Ben Saunders enters this fight with a 21-9-2 record and has won 43 percent of his fights by knockout. Saunders has split his last six fights and is coming off a February loss to Alan Jouban. Saunders is averaging 3.35 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Saunders is averaging 0.25 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 40 percent. Saunders is another fighter in need of a victory, as he’s fresh off a fight a few months ago that earned fight of the night honors but was a knockout loss. Saunders now hopes to avoid three straight losses for the first time in his career. Saunders has always been an effective striker who lands accurate punches standing up and has an impressive reach of 77 inches. Saunders has very little takedown success on the UFC level, but he has a deep background in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and is a more than capable grappler with his lengthy frame when need be. The issue with Saunders is that he’s known for having a weak chin, as six of his nine career losses have been knockouts, including each of his last four losses. This will be Saunders’ first career fight in New York.

Saunders hasn’t been turning many heads with his recent fights, but as I said before, there’s no value in backing Ellenberger. The guy is in just awful form to put it lightly, and this fight doesn’t exactly favor him either considering he’s giving up a six inch reach. While Ellenberger does have the advantage in takedowns and could win this fight on the canvas, he simply hasn’t impressed anyone over the last five years and doesn’t deserve the benefit of the doubt at this point. He’s simply fade material at this point.

Give me Ellenberger for the victory.

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