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CM Punk vs. Mike Jackson UFC 225 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 6/9/18

Jackson vs. Punk

UFC: Saturday, June 9, 2018 (United Center)

The Line: Punk +175 / Jackson -225 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

CM Punk and Mike Jackson fight Saturday during UFC 225 at the United Center.

CM Punk enters this fight with a 0-1 record and is coming off a 2016 submission loss to Mickey Gall. Punk is averaging zero significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Punk is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Punk was absolutely awful in his MMA debut, as he landed six strikes and spent most of the time getting peppered with shots on the canvas and tried his best to cover up. Punk does have a blue belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and obviously has some fighting background, but he learned very quickly that this isn’t the WWE and looked very uncomfortable from the start. Punk is a good move for the sport, as he brings a ton of new eyeballs and that obviously means more money, but if his first fight was any indication of things to come, it’s not going to be pretty. Considering his debut was about a year and a half ago, maybe the time off will help, as he gets the chance to watch film and have more time to work with coaches. However, you can’t see Punk’s debut and have any sort of confidence heading into his next bout. This will be Punk’s first career fight in Chicago.

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CM Punk vs. Mike Jackson UFC 225 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 6/9/18

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Mike Jackson enters this fight with a 0-1 record and is coming off a 2016 submission loss to Mickey Gall. Jackson is averaging four significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Jackson is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Jackson is another guy who didn’t show much in his UFC debut, as he landed just three strikes before being submitted in the first round. Jackson is a lengthy fighter at 6’2” who is primarily a striker and does a good job of keeping his hands up and has some pop in his punches. If Jackson can force a striking battle and stay on his feet, he has a chance to see some decent results. His lengthy frame and ability to put together combinations here and there is his best hope at this stage in his career. The problem with Jackson is that he doesn’t have a proven ground game and was submitted rather easily in his UFC debut. So, like Punk, Jackson has a ways to go in proving he deserves to be on the big stage of the UFC. This will be Jackson’s first career fight in Chicago.

We have two wet behind the ear fighters who have limited skill and experience, so this should end up being your backyard style fight where anything can happen. Jackson is obviously the more experienced MMA fighter who has years of training, while Punk was thrown into this a couple of years ago after stepping away from the WWE. The one thing going for Punk is that he got his debut out of the way and has been able to spend over a year working on his craft, so you should see a better and more comfortable version this time around. Jackson should be the favorite given his experience, but that doesn’t mean I’m trying to lay juice with an unproven fighter. There’s not much separating either of these guys. Jackson lacks any real wrestling skills and has little head movement in his standup. Assuming Punk has picked up some things and has more confidence, this is a more than winnable fight.

Punk was god awful in his debut, but given that neither of these fighters have shown much, I almost have to take the plus money. I rather have a chance at doubling my money in this toss-up, unknown fight. 

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