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Brad Tavares vs. Israel Adesanya UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/6/18

Adesanya vs. Tavares

UFC: Friday, July 6, 2018 (Pearl Theatre)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Brad Tavares and Israel Adesanya fight Friday during The Ultimate Fighter 27 Finale at the Pearl Theatre.

Brad Tavares enters this fight with a 18-5 record and has won 56 percent of his fights by decision. Tavares has won each of his last four fights and is coming off a April win over Krzysztof Jotko. Tavares is averaging 3.19 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.8 percent. Tavares is averaging 1.09 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 31.9 percent. Tavares has been on quite a roll since his 2015 loss to Robert Whittaker and looks for his third straight victory since October. Tavares is coming off a knockout victory in which he landed 46 strikes and produced his first finish in seven years. Tavares is a tough, well conditioned fighter who is built for long fights that usually end in decision, and 11 of his last 14 fights overall have gone the distance. Tavares is a proven wrestler and has 15 takedowns on the UFC level, but he also has sneaky striking power and just showed it in his last bout. When landed cleanly, Tavares can hurt his opponent. This will be Tavares’ seventh fight in Nevada, the state he’s fighting out of.

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Brad Tavares vs. Israel Adesanya UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/6/18

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Israel Adesanya enters this fight with a 13-0 record and has won 92 percent of his fights by knockout. Adesanya will fight for the third time this year and is coming off a April win over Marvin Vettori. Adesanya is averaging 4.62 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 55 percent. Adesanya is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Adesanya improved to 2-0 under the UFC banner and will fight for the third time since February, as he’s clearly trying to make a point. Adesanya is coming off a split decision victory in which he landed 67 strikes and survived two takedowns. Adesanya is an athletic striker who comes from a boxing, kickboxing background and had each of his 12 previous fights end in knockout. Adesanya is crazy athletic, uses his legs well and has one punch knockout potential in both hands. While still very early in his career and his resume may lack a ton of notable names, Adesanya has often reminded some of Jon Jones. Time will tell if the soon-to-be-29-year-old can reach that level of success, of course. This will be Adesanya’s second career MMA fight in the United States. 

Tavares is a tough fighter, well conditioned and obviously has more experience not only in the octagon overall but against better competition. However, Adesanya has the advantage in striking, finish ability and athleticism. While I don’t want to jump the gun just yet, Adesanya is a star in the making and a guy who is hard to bet against given his form and skill set. The kid has a lot of the tools to be box-office.

Give me Adesanya to get his biggest victory yet.

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