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Uriah Hall vs. Paulo Costa UFC 226 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/7/18

Paulo Costa vs. Uriah Hall

UFC: Saturday, July 7, 2018 (T-Mobile Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


Uriah Hall and Paulo Costa fight Saturday during UFC 226 at the T-Mobile Arena.

Uriah Hall enters this fight with a 14-8 record and has won 79 percent of his fights by knockout. Hall has split his last eight fights and is coming off a September win over Krzysztof Jotko. Hall is averaging 3.13 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 53.1 percent. Hall is averaging one takedown with an accuracy percentage of 41.1 percent. Hall snapped a three-fight losing streak by landing 26 significant strikes and producing a second round knockout. Hall earned performance of the night honors and now looks to win two straight fights for the first time in three years. Hall is a pure striker who has heavy hands with one-punch knockout potential, and he uses his knees and legs just as well. Hall is a very athletic fighter who can be creative with his standup and has an impressive reach of 79 inches, which doesn’t make things any easier for his opponent. Each of Hall’s last four victories have come by knockout. Hall is also a proven grappler who has above average takedown success. This will be Hall’s fifth career pro MMA fight in Las Vegas.  

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Uriah Hall vs. Paulo Costa UFC 226 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/7/18

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

Paulo Costa enters this fight with a 11-0 record and has won 91 percent of his fights by knockout. This will be Costa’s fourth fight since 2017 and is coming off a November win over Johny Hendricks. Costa is averaging 8.28 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 56.4 percent. Costa is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Costa is coming off a second round knockout in which he landed 49 significant strikes and produced one knockdown. Costa is building quite the reputation, as he’s now 3-0 under the UFC banner and has won each of his last four fights overall by knockout. Costa has finished all 11 of his opponents and has one-punch knockout power. Costa is a decent athlete who has good technique and a vicious ground and pound if the fight ever goes to the canvas. The one concern I have with Costa is his cardio, as we have yet to see him really tested in a lengthy brawl, and only two of his 11 fights have made it out of the first round. This will be Costa’s second career fight outside of Brazil.

There’s a lot working for the Jamaican in this bout, as he has far more grappling experience and would have the edge on the canvas, and he has a seven inch reach advantage, which is massive in a stand up striking attack. On the flip side, Costa has done a decent job of defending takedowns in his last few fights and has the pure power advantage. Costa is not allowing a takedown attempt without landing something when his opponent is rushing in, so Hall must be careful. Overall, Costa has been very impressive in his first few big fights and has been deadly accurate with his strikes.

I like Costa to find a way to win this fight.

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