Cat Zingano vs. Marion Reneau UFC Fight Night 133 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/14/18
Marion Reneau vs. Cat Zingano
UFC: Saturday, July 14, 2018 (CenturyLink Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Cat Zingano and Marion Reneau fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 133 at the CenturyLink Arena.
Cat Zingano enters this fight with a 9-3 record and has won 56 percent of her fights by knockout. Zingano has split her last six fights and is coming off a March loss to Ketlen Vieira. Zingano is averaging 2.66 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 62.5 percent. Zingano is averaging 1.93 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 70 percent. Zingano took almost two years off due to health issues and lost a tight split decision despite landing 18 more significant strikes. Zingano went from being a rising star at 9-0 and fresh off a win over Amanda Nunes to riding a three-fight losing streak. Zingano has just one fight under her belt since July of 2016 and it’s fair to question her confidence level at this stage at 36 years old. When in good form, Zingano is a great athlete with effective takedown ability, and she’s comfortable from either top or bottom position. Zingano is also an accurate and powerful striker who has produced knockouts in three of her last four victories. And despite her current form, it wasn’t that long ago when Zingano was one of the best bantamweights in the world. This will be Zingano’s first career fight in Idaho.
Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports
Marion Reneau enters this fight with a 9-3-1 record and has won 56 percent of her fights by knockout. Reneau has won seven of her last 10 fights and is coming off a February win over Sara McMann. Reneau is averaging 3.79 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.1 percent. Reneau is averaging 0.3 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 100 percent. Reneau continues to shine despite now being 40 years old, and she’s coming off an impressive submission victory in which she was the one taken down twice. Reneau has now produced finishes in each of her last four victories and hasn’t lost since her 2016 bout against Ashlee Evans-Smith. Reneau is really solid defensively, as she does a good job of getting in and out with her strikes, and she uses her legs well to keep her opponent honest. While Reneau isn’t much of a takedown artist and has subpar takedown defense, she does display a good ground and pound attack and just proved she can find an opening in that neck if her opponent isn’t careful. Reneau is an overall tough fighter with a proven chin and all three of her losses have come by decision. This will be Reneau’s first career fight in Idaho.
You’d like to see Zingano get back on track with a victory here and kind of breathe life back into her career, but we haven’t seen much recently to suggest that will happen. Reneau is up there in age, but she actually has some of her best wins recently and may be getting better each time we see her. Reneau is also a tough fighter who has never been finished, so if you’re backing Zingano here, you’re expecting her to be effective for three rounds. It’s hard to predict.
I like Reneau to get another big victory while proving age is nothing but a number.