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Darren Elkins vs. Alexander Volkanovski UFC Fight Night 133 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/14/18

Alexander Volkanovski vs. Darren Elkins

UFC: Saturday, July 14, 2018 (CenturyLink Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Darren Elkins and Alexander Volkanovski fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 133 at the CenturyLink Arena.

Darren Elkins enters this fight with a 24-5 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by decision. Elkins has won his last six fights and is coming off a January win over Michael Johnson. Elkins is averaging 3.14 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 36.8 percent. Elkins is averaging 2.76 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 36.1 percent. Elkins has won each of his last six fights and is coming off an impressive submission victory that earned performance of the night. It’s the second time in three fights Elkins has earned that honor, and he’s quietly climbing the featherweight rankings. Elkins hasn’t lost since his 2014 fight with Hacran Dias and has finished two of his last three opponents. Elkins is most known for his wrestling ability and conditioning, and most of his fights have ended in decision, but he also has eight knockouts and has proven he can be dangerous with the ground and pound. Elkins simply usually does a wonderful job of outlasting his opponent and being effective for three rounds. Elkins does a great job of dictating the fight, and it’s why he often wins when it goes to the judges. This will be Elkins’ first career fight in Idaho.

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Darren Elkins vs. Alexander Volkanovski UFC Fight Night 133 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/14/18

Christopher Hyde-USA TODAY Sports

Alexander Volkanovski enters this fight with a 17-1 record and has won 59 percent of his fights by knockout. Volkanovski has won each of his last 14 fights and is coming off a February win over Jeremy Kennedy. Volkanovski is averaging 5.91 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 61.9 percent. Volkanovski is averaging 4.46 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 51.8 percent. Volkanovski is coming off a dominant win in which he landed 105 strikes, produced two takedowns and eventually got the second round knockout. Volkanovski is now 4-0 under the UFC banner and hasn’t lost a fight in his career since the 2013 bout against Corey Nelson. Volkanovski is a quality takedown artist who has 14 takedowns in four fights and has landed 53 percent of his strikes on the ground. Volkanovski has been able to get the fight where he wants it and simply unloads on his opponent when the time is right. While his resume still lacks many notable names, Volkanovski has shown all the tools and ability to be one of the top fighters in what has become an improved division all of a sudden. This will be Volkanovski’s first career fight in Idaho.

Elkins has been on a roll recently and is obviously the more proven fighter of the two. However, I’m not going to be the guy to pick against Volkanovski until he gives me a reason to. While his competition hasn’t been the best in the world, Volkanovski has done the same thing to everybody he’s faced. Takedown, ground and pound, takedown, ground and pound. He’s also shown above-average takedown defense, so Elkins will likely have to fight this on Volkanovski’s terms. It’s close to a toss-up between two quality fighters, but Volkanovski has been too impressive to bet against.

I’m on Aussies hype train.

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