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Myles Jury vs. Chad Mendes UFC Fight Night 133 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/14/18

Chad Mendes vs. Myles Jury

UFC: Saturday, July 14, 2018 (CenturyLink Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Myles Jury and Chad Mendes fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 133 at the CenturyLink Arena.

Myles Jury enters this fight with a 17-2 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by knockout. Jury has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a December win over Rick Glenn. Jury is averaging 2.66 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 40.5 percent. Jury is averaging 2.58 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 55.1 percent. Jury is now 2-0 since taking 16 months off once he lost to Charles Oliveira in 2015. Jury is coming off a decision victory in which he landed 56 total strikes and produced two takedowns. Jury is a well balanced fighter who has raw striking power and quality takedown ability that’s helped him produce five submission victories. Jury has also shown he’s a well conditioned fighter who can be effective in later rounds and has won four of his five career decisions. At almost 30 years old, Jury has the ability to make some noise in this division if he stays active. This will be Jury’s first career fight in Idaho. 

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Myles Jury vs. Chad Mendes UFC Fight Night 133 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/14/18

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Chad Mendes enters this fight with a 17-4 record and has won 47 percent of his fights by decision. Mendes has lost three of his last four fights and is coming off a 2015 loss to Frankie Edgar. Mendes is averaging 2.7 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 49.1 percent. Mendes is averaging 4.16 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 54.5 percent. Mendes will fight for the first time in two and a half years, as he was suspended for two years after testing positive for GHRP-6. Mendes wasn’t exactly in great form when he left the sport, as he’s been knocked out in each of his last two fights, including a fairly quick fight against the Answer. When in good form, Mendes is one of the better wrestlers in this division, as he has a very aggressive takedown attack and has never been finished on the canvas. Mendes has also won eight of his nine career decisions. Mendes is an accurate striker and does have above-average striking power, but he’s at his best forcing his opponent to fight his style, which is wrestling and kind of dirtying up the fight a bit. This will be Mendes’ first career fight in Idaho. 

We have two fighters with similar styles and guys who seem to get better as the fight goes on. Both are aggressive takedown artists who are at their best on the canvas, but they also have some striking power if an opening is there. The difference is Jury has a seven inch reach advantage and is sure going to make the aggressive Mendes think twice about rushing in. Oh, there’s also the fact Mendes has been out of the octagon for two and a half years. The last time we saw Mendes in the octagon, Star Wars: The Force Awakens was just being released. There’s just no way to factor in that type of rust.

Give me Jury for the victory.

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