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Patricio Freire vs. Daniel Weichel Bellator 203 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/14/18

Daniel Weichel vs. Patricio Freire

Bellator: Saturday, July 14, 2018 (Foro Italico)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Paramount Network

Patricio Freire and Daniel Weichel fight Saturday during Bellator 203 at Foro Italico.

Patricio Freire enters this fight with an 26-4 record and has won 11 of his fights by submission. Freire has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a April (2017) win over Daniel Straus. Freire bounced back nicely from his loss to Benson Henderson by winning the Bellator Featherweight World Championship, and he’ll fight for the first time in over a year for the first time in a while. It’s going to be interesting to see if there’s any octagon rust with the 31-year-old, as this is a guy who is used to fighting two two times a year. Freire is one of the more balanced fighters in the featherweight division, as he has a very polished and powerful striking attack with legit one-punch knockout power. Freire is more than capable of holding his own standing up. However, Freire is probably at his best on the canvas where he can wrestle and look for those submission holds where he’s won three of his last four fights. Freire has only been finished once in his career and is probably the most dangerous fighter in this division not mentioning UFC fighters. This will be Freire’s first career fight in Italy.

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Patricio Freire vs. Daniel Weichel Bellator 203 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/14/18

Jason Silva-USA TODAY Sports

Daniel Weichel enters this fight with an 39-9 record and has won 22 of his fights by submission. Weichel has won each of his last four fights and is coming off a April (2017) win over John Teixeira. Weichel is another fighter who has spent a lot of time outside of the octagon and is somebody who usually fights two or three times a year. Either way, Weichel should be rather motivated for this bout considering he hasn’t lost since last facing Freire, which is also his only loss in over six years. Weichel has a good standup attack and has more power in his strikes than his knockout percentage would indicate, but his Muay Thai and wrestling ability is where he’s at his best. Weichel is vicious when he gets his opponent on the canvas and has won 11 fights in his career with the rear-naked choke. Weichel uses his strike to set up his takedowns, and once he gets the fight where he wants it or can gain his opponents back, it’s all but over. Few fighters in this sport want to rumble with Weichel off their feet, as it usually doesn’t end well. This will be Weichel’s first career fight in Italy. 

When these two fighters met three years ago, it resulted in a knockout victory for Freire for the Bellator Featherweight Championship. Freire landed combinations, got his opponent up against the cage and Weichel couldn’t counter with anything. That’s the key to beating Weichel, as forcing him to fight on his feet isn’t where he’s most effective. The bottom line is I’m not picking against Freire, as he’s the most polished featherweight outside of the UFC. And while he’s giving up a ton of length here, he can hold his own in all areas, something we can’t say about Weichel.

Freire wins the second fight between these two guys.

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