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Alan Jouban vs. Danny Roberts UFC Fight Night 134 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/22/18

Danny Roberts vs. Alan Jouban

UFC: Sunday, July 22, 2018 (Barclaycard Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Alan Jouban and Danny Roberts fight Sunday during UFC Fight Night 134 at the Barclaycard Arena.

Alan Jouban enters this fight with a 16-6 record and has won 69 percent of his fights by knockout. Jouban has won four of his last six fights and is coming off a February win over Ben Saunders. Jouban is averaging 5.41 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 53.1 percent. Jouban is averaging 0.52 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Jouban is coming off an impressive knockout victory that snapped a two-fight losing streak and earn fight of the night honors. Jouban landed 78 significant strikes in his last performance and showed just how effective he is with his stand up. Jouban has produced knockouts in four of his last seven victories and has displayed multiple times now that he has clear one punch knockout power. Jouban is an explosive athlete even at 36 years old, and he delivers accurate and powerful strikes that can end things at any moment. This will be Jouban’s first career fight in Germany. 

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Alan Jouban vs. Danny Roberts UFC Fight Night 134 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/22/18

Miguel Tovar-USA TODAY Sports

Danny Roberts enters this fight with a 14-3 record and has won 43 percent of his fights by knockout. Roberts has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a March win over Oliver Enkamp. Roberts is averaging 39.5 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 39.2 percent. Roberts is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Roberts is also coming off an impressive knockout in which he landed just four strikes and ended things within the first couple of minutes. Roberts has now finished his opponent in seven of his last nine victories and now has a chance to win back-to-back fights for the first time since 2015-16. Roberts is a fighter with a deep boxing background and wants to rely on his striking, hand speed and athleticism. While Roberts does have five submission victories under his belt and has shown some wrestling ability, he’s far more interested in his stand up than being on the canvas. Roberts hasn’t produced a single takedown on the UFC level, which tells you his game plan coming into this fight. This will be Roberts’ first career fight in Germany. 

This should be an old fashioned striking backyard brawl, as neither of these fighters have been eager to produce takedowns or clinch. They’re both strikers at heart with one-punch knockout potential and are fresh off exciting finishes. Somebody is likely going to get dropped in this bout. As for who that will be, I’m giving the edge to Jouban, as he’s the more accurate striker and has more pop behind those punches. We’ve also seen Roberts get knocked out twice in his last four fights, which can’t inspire much confidence heading into a fight against such a powerful striker.

I lean Jouban here.

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