Marcin Tybura vs. Stefan Struve UFC Fight Night 134 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/22/18
Stefan Struve vs. Marcin Tybura
UFC: Sunday, July 22, 2018 (Barclaycard Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Marcin Tybura and Stefan Struve fight Sunday during UFC Fight Night 134 at the Barclaycard Arena.
Marcin Tybura enters this fight with a 16-4 record and has won 38 percent of his fights by knockout. Tybura has split his last eight fights and is coming off a February loss to Derrick Lewis. Tybura is averaging 3.75 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 51.7 percent. Tybura is averaging 1.03 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 51.5 percent. Tybura is coming off a rough loss in which he was dominating for much of the fight and even had a chance to force a submission. However, Tybura allowed Lewis to hang around and was eventually knocked out in the third round. Tybura now hopes to avoid three straight losses for the first time in his career. Tybura is a balanced fighter with powerful striking ability and impressive ground and pound, and he’s also a polished wrestler who has six submission victories. Tybura knows how to finish fights, as 12 of his last 14 victories have been finishes and he has just one decision win in the last five years. In fact, Tybura has just three decision victories in his career and has lost four of the last seven fights that have made it out of the first round. While Tybura is known to have above-average conditioning for his weight class, his recent performances have been a bit shaky. This will be Tybura’s first career fight in Germany.
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Stefan Struve enters this fight with a 32-10 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by submission. Struve has split last 10 fights and is coming off a March loss to Andrei Arlovski. Struve is averaging 3.25 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.2 percent. Struve is averaging 0.6 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Struve is coming off a loss in which he ate 76 strikes and was taken down four times. It was a rough performance for Struve if we’re being honest, and he’s certainly wasting no time to hop right back into the octagon. Struve now hopes to avoid three straight losses for the first time in his career. Struve is always a tough matchup for opponents due to his towering 7’0” frame and 84 inch reach, and that length helps him with his striking accuracy and has led to eight knockout victories for his career. Struve is also a polished wrestler who can become overwhelming on the canvas and has a variety of submission moves that he’s quick to unleash. With a kickboxing background, you don’t see fighters this large, long and athletic as Struve is in the octagon. Of course, there’s a downside to this massive frame, as it gives opponents a big target, and Struve has been knocked out seven times in his career. This will be Struve’s fourth career fight in Germany.
Struve is always worth a look given his length and size advantage over his opponents, and it’s no different here, as he’s nine inches taller than his opponent and has a six inch reach advantage. Struve will have his chances standing up and can make things quite awkward for the smaller Tybura. However, Struve has been shaky in his last few fights, and he’s going up against a quality finisher in Tybura, who has knockout power and is far more comfortable on the canvas while having submission ability. Tybura also probably should have beaten Lewis, while Struve was dominated by Arlovski, so while they’re both coming off losses, it’s the Pole who is in better form.
I like Tybura to win this fight.