Demetrious Johnson vs. Henry Cejudo UFC 227 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/4/18
Henry Cejudo vs. Demetrious Johnson
UFC: Saturday, August 4, 2018 (Staples Center)
The Line: Demetrious Johnson -525 / Henry Cejudo +415 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Demetrious Johnson and Henry Cejudo fight Saturday during UFC 227 at the Staples Center.
Demetrious Johnson enters this fight with a 27-2-1 record and has won 41 percent of his fights by decision. Johnson has won his last 13 fights and is coming off an October win over Ray Borg. Johnson is averaging 3.44 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 54.3 percent. Johnson is averaging 3.54 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 56.4 percent. Johnson has now won back-to-back fights by submission and completely dominated his last bout by landing 172 total strikes and producing eight takedowns. Johnson has now broken the UFC record with 11 consecutive title defenses and has earned performance of the night in four of his last six fights. You can make a strong case Johnson is the best pound for pound fighter in the UFC, as he hasn’t lost in nearly seven years and displays a balanced attack every time he steps into the octagon. Johnson has ridiculous speed that helps him when rushing his opponent or in grappling, and his conditioning is top notch. Johnson is an accurate and powerful striker than his knockout percentage gives him credit for, and he’s a top tier submission artist once he gets the fight on the canvas. Johnson is a small fighter, but he’s the complete package and tough to bet against. This will be Johnson’s third career fight in California.
Joshua Dahl-USA TODAY Sports
Henry Cejudo enters this fight with a 12-2 record and has won 58 percent of his fights by decision. Cejudo has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a December win over Sergio Pettis. Cejudo is averaging 3.78 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 43.9 percent. Cejudo is averaging 2.44 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 38.1 percent. Cejudo is coming off one of his more recent complete performances in which he landed 85 strikes and produced three takedowns. Cejudo controlled the fight from start to finish and has followed up back-to-back losses with two start wins to earn a shot at the title. Cejudo is arguably the most accomplished wrestler in the sport, as he has gold medals in multiple events and usually controls the fight with constant takedown attempts. Few can hang with Cejudo when he gets the fight on the canvas, and he’s has never been taken down on the UFC level. Also, while four of Cejudo’s five career knockouts came early in his career, he does have pop in his strikes and can’t be overlooked by opponents as a wrestler with no striking ability. If Cejudo lands cleanly, he can end things standing up. This will be Cejudo’s third career fight in California, his birth state.
Cejudo is a respectable opponent for the title and will give Johnson all that the can handle if this fight goes to the ground for a lengthy period of time. However, it’s impossible to bet against Mighty Mouse. He’s a rare fighter who can hold his own in all areas, his speed and quickness are out of this world, and he has a high fight IQ. In a sport that’s so fickle, it’s not often you find a fighter you just blindly bet, as styles clash and anything can happen. But Johnson has been one of the safer MMA bets over the years and you want to ride that until it stops paying out. He’s as good as any fighter in the world.
I’m betting on Johnson until he gives me a reason not to.