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Wuliji Buren vs. Marlon Vera UFC 227 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/4/18

Marlon Vera vs. Wuliji Buren

UFC: Saturday, August 4, 2018 (Staples Center)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: UFC Fight Pass

Wuliji Buren and Marlon Vera fight Saturday during UFC 227 at the Staples Center.

Wuliji Buren enters this fight with a 10-5 record and is winning 40 percent of his fights by submission. Buren has split his last eight fights and is coming off a November loss to Rolando Dy. Buren is averaging 1.13 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 28.3 percent. Buren is averaging four takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 36.3 percent. Buren lost his UFC debut despite landing 37 strikes and producing four takedowns. Buren probably did better than expected in his debut, as he’s still very raw in this sport and has lost to some brutal, awful no-name fighters in his career. Buren has decent takedown ability and is decent in the clinch where he has some polished boxing skills. However, Buren must improve in terms of movement, conditioning and even footwork. Buren has a ways to go before convincing me he’s a quality UFC fighter, but maybe he can build on his four takedowns and possibly steal a win that would turn some heads when it comes to die hard MMA fans. This will be Buren’s first career fight outside of China.

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Wuliji Buren vs. Marlon Vera UFC 227 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/4/18

Jason Silva-USA TODAY Sports

Marlon Vera enters this fight with a 10-5-1 record and is winning 60 percent of his fights by submission. Vera has split his last 10 fights and is coming off a February loss to Douglas Silva de Andrade. Vera is averaging 3.07 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.6 percent. Vera is averaging 0.46 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 30 percent. Vera has lost back-to-back decisions and is coming off a fight in which he ate 97 significant strikes and was taken down once. Vera hasn’t won a fight in a little over a year and needs a win here if he’s going to continue getting booked on these big cards. Vera has a background in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and is at his best with his takedown attempts and wrestling. Vera has six submission victories for his career and has produced finishes in six of his last eight victories. Vera isn’t much of a striker, so he needs to get this fight where he’s most comfortable in order to win. This will be Vera’s first career fight in California. 

Vera is the better fighter between these two guys, but that’s clearly not saying much. I don’t think highly of Buren at all, and he probably won’t be around long enough in the UFC to make much of an impact. Vera is the longer, bigger fighter and has the advantage if this thing was to go to the canvas. Vara should win this fight rather easily if we’re being completely honest.

If Vara doesn’t win this fight, he’s in serious trouble moving forward.

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