Michael Johnson vs. Andre Fili UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/25/18
Andre Fili vs. Michael Johnson
UFC: Saturday, August 25, 2018 (Pinnacle Bank Arena)
The Line: Johnson -140 / Fili +120 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Michael Johnson and Andre Fili fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 135 at the Pinnacle Bank Arena.
Michael Johnson enters this fight with a 18-13 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by knockout. Johnson has lost five of his last six fights and is coming off a January loss to Darren Elkins. Johnson is averaging 4.13 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 36.7 percent. Johnson is averaging 0.61 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Johnson is kind of in must win mode, as he’s won just two fights over the last three years and has been finished each of the last three times he’s taken the octagon. Johnson is coming off a fight in which he ate 46 strikes and was submitted in the second round. If these results continue, you have to question if Johnson still has the ability to fight top tier competition at 32 years old. When in good form, Johnson is a balanced fighter who has knockout striking power and above-average wrestling ability despite being submitted eight times in his 13 losses. Johnson has to be better with his takedowns, something he’s had zero success during this losing stretch. This will be Johnson’s first career fight in Nebraska.
Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports
Andre Fili enters this fight with a 18-5 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by knockout. Fili has won eight of his last 12 fights and is coming off a January win over Dennis Bermudez. Fili is averaging 3.9 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 37.5 percent. Fili is averaging 2.91 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 45.6 percent. Fili has a chance to win three straight fights for the first time since 2012-13 and is coming off a bout in which he landed 93 strikes and produced four takedowns. Each of Fili’s last four fights have ended in a decision, and he hasn’t finished an opponent since his 2015 win over Gabriel Benítez. Fili is a polished grappler with aggressive takedowns, and he likes to wear down his opponent. Fili isn’t accurate with his strikes, but he does defend well and has eight knockout victories under his belt, so his stand up can’t be overlooked. Fili is simply an athletic fighter who can do a little bit of everything and is finally starting to show that now that he’s got his feet wet in the UFC. This will be Fili’s first career fight in Nebraska.
I’m not sure how anybody can lay juice with the way Johnson has looked in his last several fights. Is he the better pure fighter here, probably on paper, but the dude has been getting knocked out, submitted and hasn’t shown much promise in terms of turning things around. Fights aren't won on paper. Fili is the much better grappler and would have a decent sized advantage if this bout goes to the canvas. Fili is finally starting to tap into his potential, and I’m not laying juice with a fighter who has lost five of his last six fights.
For the plus money, you can give me Touchy for the victory.