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Andrei Arlovski vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/15/18

Shamil Abdurakhimov vs. Andrei Arlovski

UFC: Saturday, September 15, 2018 (Olimpiyskiy Stadium)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: UFC Fight Pass

Andrei Arlovski and Shamil Abdurakhimov fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 136 at Olimpiyskiy Stadium. 

Andrei Arlovski enters this fight with a 27-16 record and has won 63 percent of his fights by knockout. Arlovski has lost six of his last eight fights and is coming off a June loss to Tai Tuivasa. Arlovski is averaging 3.24 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.8 percent. Arlovski is averaging 0.53 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 34.6 percent. Arlovski is coming off a tight decision in which he ate 54 strikes and traded 51 strikes and produced a knockdown. Arlovski continues to struggle with his form, as he’s fighting a ton but isn’t producing many victories these days. As for his ability, Arlovski is a terrific striker with a boxing background who lands extremely powerful punches and has produced 17 career knockouts. Arlovski will always have a chance given his power shots, and he’s a polished grappler who does a good job of controlling the octagon and pressuring his opponent. Arlovski does have a questionable chin and has been knocked out 10 times himself, but he has to like his chances as long as he stays busy. Unfortunately, Arlovski seems to be a shell of himself at 39 years old. This will be Arlovski’s sixth career fight in Russia. 

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Andrei Arlovski vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/15/18

David McIntyre-USA TODAY Sports

Shamil Abdurakhimov enters this fight with a 18-4 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by knockout. Abdurakhimov has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a November win over Chase Sherman. Abdurakhimov is averaging 2.52 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45.7 percent. Abdurakhimov is averaging 1.36 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 22.7 percent. Abdurakhimov is coming off a quick knockout in which he landed just six strikes and showed his one-punch knockout potential. It’s been about 10 months since we’ve seen Abdurakhimov in the octagon, but he’s a proven striker with a boxing background and has above-average wrestling ability for a heavyweight. Abdurakhimov is also a well conditioned fighter who has been on the winning side of six of his seven career decisions. Abdurakhimov is a rare heavyweight who is built for the long haul and does a lot of his work in the later rounds, so he’s unique in that ability, as most guys his size are looking to land the big strike early and are no longer effective in the later rounds. Abdurakhimov has fought most of his career in Russia, his birthplace. 

Arlovski has lost six of his last eight fights, so I’m not sure how anybody can back him at the moment. Arlovski is still a quality fighter in terms of his skill set, but when the results aren’t there, it’s hard to take seriously after a while. Abdurakhimov is fighting in his home country, would have the advantage on the canvas and has the raw striking power that’s sure to test Arlovski’s questionable chin. Until we see Arlovski snap out of this funk, I have a hard time making a case for him.

I’ll side with Abdurakhimov in this bout.

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