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Chris Weidman vs Ronaldo Souza UFC 230 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 11/3/18

Ronaldo Souza vs Chris Weidman

UFC: Saturday, November 3, 2018 (Madison Square Garden)

The Line: Souza +140 / Weidman -170 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

Ronaldo Souza will be fighting Chris Weidman at UFC 230 in a middleweight fight at Madison Square Garden in New York City.

Chris Weidman enters this match with a professional MMA record of 14 wins and 3 losses. It has been an impressive career for Weidman as he is a former UFC middleweight champion. Since losing his title, Weidman has had a drop in form as his post-champion record is currently 2-1. While the record is well below the standards set by Weidman, the American won his last fight via submission. It is important to note that Chris Weidman has not fought since July 2017 meaning his absence away from the octagon has been greater than 12 months. With a poor recent run of form and a long absence from the ring, it will not be easy for Weidman in this fight.

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Chris Weidman vs Ronaldo Souza UFC 230 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 11/3/18

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

On the other side of the coin, Ronaldo Souza enters this fight after losing at UFC 224. As it currently stands, Souza has a professional MMA record of 24 wins, 6 losses and 1 no contest. Souza will attempt to take this fight onto the mat as the Brazilian is an exceptional submission artist. In his 24 win career, over 50% of Ronaldo Souza’s fights have been won via submission. While it is hard to see Souza competing against Chris Weidman in a boxing match, the Brazilian has the ability to take most of his fights onto the mat as he averages over 3 takedowns per match. With such an impressive takedown record, it is hard to see how Weidman can keep this fight standing.

While Chris Weidman has had an exceptional career, I see this too be a very hard match for the former champion. This fight will take place on the mat since it has been near impossible for most to stop Souza’s takedowns. On the mat, there is only one winner as Ronaldo Souza is much better submission wrestler. With a long absence from the Octagon, I see Weidman’s return to end in defeat. I am picking Ronaldo Souza to win this fight.

 

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