Neil Magny vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 11/17/18
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Neil Magny
UFC: Saturday, November 17, 2018 (Estadio Mary Terán de Weiss)
The Line: Ponzinibbio -274 / Magny +246 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Neil Magny and Santiago Ponzinibbio fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 140 at Estadio Mary Terán de Weiss.
Neil Magny enters this fight with a 21-7 record and has won 52 percent of his fights by decision. Magny has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a May win over Craig White. Magny is averaging three significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 48 percent. Magny is averaging two takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 47 percent. Magny has put together back-to-back victories and is coming off a first round knockout, the first of his career. Magny is usually a scrappy, grinding style fighter who usually sees his fight goes to the judges, but he has finished five of his last nine victories, so he’s improving in that area. Magny is a lengthy fighter with a reach of 80 inches and uses that both in striking and to produce countless takedowns on the UFC level. Magny is an overall smart defensive fighter who has won 11 of his 12 career decisions and is a really polished wrestler and grappler. Magny has been submitted four times, but his length and athleticism always makes him a tough fight and one of the more consistent fighters within this division. This will be Magny’s first career fight in Argentina.
Bruce Fedyck-USA TODAY Sports
Santiago Ponzinibbio enters this fight with a 27-3 record and has won 52 percent of his fights by knockout. Ponzinibbio has won his last six fights and is coming off a December win over Mike Perry. Ponzinibbio is averaging four significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 38 percent. Ponzinibbio is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 44 percent. Ponzinibbio will fight for the fourth time since February of 2017 and is coming off a fight in which he had three takedowns and out struck a guy with a boxing background. Ponzinibbio hasn't lost since his 2015 fight with Lorenz Larkin and has consistently been one of the busiest fighters in the UFC over the years. However, Ponzinibbio hasn’t been in the octagon in nearly a year, as his scheduled bout with Kamaru Usman was canceled due to injury. Ponzinibbio is an aggressive volume striker who uses his legs well and has a reach of 73 inches. Ponzinibbio has produced knockouts in nine of his last 16 victories and showed that he has power in both hands given his knockout win over Gunnar Nelson. Ponzinibbio has proven his worth his last several fights and can turn even more heads in this bout as the headliner. This will be Ponzinibbio’s eighth career fight in Argentina, his birthplace.
This line makes Magny a live dog, as he’s a scrappy fighter who doesn’t always win pretty but finds a way to get the job done. It’s all you can ask of a fighter. Magny is also he much bigger fighter with a seven-inch reach advantage over Ponzinibbio and is three inches taller. The American can’t be slept on here. However, when it’s all said and done, Ponzinibbio has the clear edge when it comes to stand up and can use his legs to keep Magny honest with his takedown attempts. Ponzinibbio also has the higher probability of ending this fight with one strike, and he’s fighting at home for the first time in years.
Many and the plus money is intriguing, but Ponzinibbio has to have the edge.