Jessica Andrade vs. Rose Namajunas - 7/11/20 UFC 251 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jason Silva-USA TODAY Sports
Rose Namajunas vs. Jessica Andrade
Saturday, July 11, 2020 at 11:00 PM (Yas Island Beach)
Jessica Andrade +164 / Rose Namajunas -181
Jessica Andrade and Rose Namajunas fight Saturday during UFC 249 at a location undecided.
Jessica Andrade enters this fight with a 20-7 record and has won 35 percent of her fights by submission. Andrade has won six of her last eight fights and is coming off an August loss two Zhang Weili. Andrade is averaging 6.55 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 51 percent. Andrade is averaging 3.21 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 58 percent. Andrade watched her four-fight winning streak come to an end at UFC Fight Night 157, as she struggled to deal with the pressure of Weili and got overwhelmed with strikes. Andrade has never lost back-to-back fights in her career. Andrade is a pressure fighter who usually gets the best of her opponent on her feet with constant wild punches and a lot of pop behind her strikes. Andrade is violent standing up and has a great ground and pound, and while she’s known for her striking, she’s also a successful takedown artist with seven submission victories on her resume. Andrade has the upper body strength to get a fight wherever she wants it and her aggressiveness and brute power makes her one of the scarier fighters on the women’s side.
Rose Namajunas enters this fight with a 8-4 record and has won 63 percent of her fights by submission. Namajunas has won six of her last eight fights and is coming off a May loss to Jessica Andrade. Namajunas is averaging 3.95 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42 percent. Namajunas is averaging 2.17 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 55 percent. Namajunas hasn’t fought in nearly a year and it’s going to be interesting to see how she responds from the time off and the loss she suffered. Namajunas was in complete control of the fight before being slammed on her head and being knocked out in the second round. It’s the type of scary loss that could play in the back of her mind and make her a bit more hesitant. Namajunas is an aggressive pressure fighter who likes to stay busy by working the jab and mixing in some kicks. Namajunas has just one knockout victory under her belt, but she’s proven to be somebody who can hold her own standing up and has a very technical approach to her attack where she picks her spots well. Namajunas is also proven on the canvas and has creative submission holds where she can end a fight at any moment. Namajunas has used the rear-naked choke four times to finish fights and seems to be a bit more comfortable on the ground.
Andrade as an underdog in this spot is intriguing given the way the first fight went down and the fact she’s been the busier fighter with her last match coming in August. Namajunas has taken nearly a year off and just suffered a scary loss, the type of loss where you question how it will impact her moving forward. With that said, I picked Namajunas in the first bout and I’m doing so again. Namajunas is the more technical and more balanced fighter between the two and has a solid size advantage that gives her an edge on the feet. Namajunas was in complete control of the first meeting where she picked Andrade apart before being dropped on her head. Assuming Namajunas is covered and has her confidence, she wins this fight.
Give me Namajunas and the reasonable price.