Uriah Hall vs. Ronaldo Souza - 5/9/20 UFC 249 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
Ronaldo Souza vs. Uriah Hall
Saturday, May 9, 2020 at 10:00 PM (VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena)
Uriah Hall +133 / Ronaldo Souza -147
Uriah Hall and Ronaldo Souza fight Saturday during UFC 249 at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena.
Uriah Hall enters this fight with a 15-9 record and has won 73 percent of his fights by knockout. Hall has split his last 10 fights and is coming off a September win over Antonio Carlos Junior. Hall is averaging 3.31 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Hall is averaging 0.76 takedown with an accuracy percentage of 38 percent. Hall is coming off a tight split decision victory where he was the more consistent and sharper striker, but he was taken down three times, so you could have made a case for either side. It was Hall’s first decision victory since beating Thiago Santos at UFC 175. Hall now looks for three straight victories for the first time since 2013-15. There’s not many secrets with Hall, as he’s a pure striker at heart who has heavy hands with one-punch knockout potential, and he uses his knees and legs just as well. Hall is an impressive athlete who can be a bit unpredictable on his feet. Hall is always one strike away from completely turning around a fight and five of his last six victories have come by knockout. Even on the ground, Hall is a threat to end things with a solid ground and pound attack.
Ronaldo Souza enters this fight with a 26-8 record and has won 54 percent of his fights by submission. Souza has lost four of his last six fights and is coming off a November loss to Jan Blachowicz. Souza is averaging 2.54 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46 percent. Souza is averaging 2.46 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 38 percent. Souza is also coming off a split decision, but his was a losing effort where his opponent landed more shots overall, but they both landed 41 percent of their strikes. Souza just can’t catch a break right now with losses in four of his last six fights, and he hopes to avoid three straight losses for the first time. Souza is most known for his background in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and submission wrestling, as the guy is an animal in the clinch and on the canvas, but he has toughness and enough pop in his hands to hold his own standing up. Souza can win a physical standup fight when needed and is more than capable of eating some powerful shots and keep moving forward. However, Souza is in the worst form of his career and he’s not getting younger as he approaches 41 years old.
This fight is going to be decided by the guy who can get the fight where he wants it. Souza wants a fight in the clinch and on the ground where he can put his BJJ to work, while Hall wants to stand up and unleash his powerful strikes. Usually the fighter with the better ground game has the edge, but Hall has a massive reach advantage in this fight and should be able to use that length to keep Souza at a comfortable distance. I’m also not thrilled about laying juice with a fighter in a losing stretch.
We’re getting the younger and more powerful fighter at plus money. Give me Hall.