Hannah Cifers vs. Mackenzie Dern - 5/30/20 UFC Fight Night 176 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports
Mackenzie Dern vs. Hannah Cifers
Saturday, May 30, 2020 at 10:00 PM (UFC APEX)
The Line: Hannah Cifers +300 / Mackenzie Dern -370 -- Over/Under:
TV: ESPN, ESPN+
Mackenzie Dern and Hannah Cifers fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 176 at the UFC APEX.
Mackenzie Dern enters this fight with a 7-1 record and has won 57 percent of her fights by submission. Dern has won five of her last six fights and is coming off an October loss to Amanda Ribas. Dern is averaging 3.24 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 32 percent. Dern is averaging 0.46 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of eight percent. Dern is coming off her first career loss, a fight where she was dominated from the start, as her opponent landed 34 more strikes and took her down twice. It’s always interesting to see how fighters bounce back from their first loss. Dern is deadly when she can dictate the pace of the fight and get things on the canvas, as her background in submission wrestling and BJJ is well documented. The daughter of Wellington Dias, Dern is most comfortable on the canvas due to being born into a grappling and judo family. There should be no secrets on what Dern wants to do in that octagon. This will be Dern’s second career fight in Las Vegas.
Hannah Cifers enters this fight with a 10-4 record and has won 50 percent of her fights by knockout. Cifers has won six of her last eight fights and is coming off a January loss to Angela Hill. Cifers is averaging 4.82 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45 percent. Cifers is averaging 0.32 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 100 percent. Cifers is coming off a one-sided second round knockout loss where she was controlled for most of the fight and simply beat up with punches and elbows. Cifers now hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time in her career while getting one of the bigger wins of her career. Cifers is a stand up fighter with a brawler style, as she throws big punches and will mix in a few kicks at times. Cifers is usually the one walking down her opponent and will turn up the heat once she gets them against the cage and has her confidence up. The concern is we haven’t seen Cifers show much comfortability on the canvas and her takedown defense isn’t great. This will be Cifers’ second career fight in Las Vegas.
This is one of the more lopsided fights on the card in terms of betting odds and for good reason. Cifers doesn’t seem comfortable on the canvas and her takedown defense hasn’t shown much promise. Dern is one of the more polished grapplers on the women’s side and has a deep background in submission wrestling. While Dern lacks standup striking, this fight is pretty much over once she gets her hands on Cifers and can control the fight the rest of the way. Cifers only chance is catching Dern with a haymaker early in the fight.
I love a good underdog like the rest of them, but this isn’t a bout you should be chasing the plus money. Give me Dern by submission.