Marion Reneau vs. Raquel Pennington - 6/20/20 UFC Fight Night 173 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Marion Reneau vs. Raquel Pennington - 6/20/20 UFC Fight Night 173 Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Raquel Pennington vs. Marion Reneau

Saturday, June 20, 2020 at 8:00 PM (UFC APEX)

The Line: Marion Reneau +113 / Raquel Pennington -133 -- Over/Under:

TV: ESPN+

Raquel Pennington and Marion Reneau fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 173 at the UFC APEX.

Raquel Pennington enters this fight with a 10-8 record and has won 60 percent of her fights by decision. Pennington has split her last six fights and is coming off a January loss to Holly Holm. Pennington is averaging 3.32 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46 percent. Pennington is averaging 1.13 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 27 percent. Pennington is coming off a fairly competitive fight at UFC 246, but she was on the losing side, and she’s now lost three of her last four fights. At almost 32 years old, it’s important Pennington gets back on track here and stops the bleeding. Pennington has some power behind her strikes and can hold her own standing up, but she’s shown more grappling ability and is more comfortable on the ground. Pennington has excellent cardio to be effective in later rounds, and she’s one of the tougher fighters on the female side in terms of taking punishment and keep coming forward. An athlete who played many sports growing up, Pennington has been finished just twice in her career despite eight losses. Pennington is built for the long haul and is going to compete regardless of result. This will be Pennington’s sixth career fight in Las Vegas.

Marion Reneau enters this fight with a 9-5-1 record and has won 56 percent of her fights by knockout. Reneau has split her last six fights and is coming off a March (2019) loss against Yana Kunitskaya. Reneau is averaging 3.46 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 41 percent. Reneau is averaging 0.35 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 100 percent. Reneau is coming off a one-sided loss at UFC Fight Night 146 where she ate 113 total strikes and struggled to sink her teeth into the match. Reneau has now lost her last two fights and she’ll be 43 years old on fight night. Reneau is really solid defensively, as she does a good job of getting in and out with her strikes, and she uses her legs well to keep her opponent honest. While Reneau isn’t much of a takedown artist and has subpar takedown defense, she does display a good ground and pound attack and has five knockout wins on her resume. Reneau has a background in BJJ and Muay Thai, and she’s never been finished in her career despite five losses. This will be Reneau’s second career fight in Las Vegas.

Something about me wants to back Reneau and the plus money just because she’s fighting on her birthday and should be in good spirits. However, Reneau is up there in age and is fighting a tough striker with top level cardio in Pennington. I expect Pennington to push the pace in this fight and really make Reneau uncomfortable for three rounds. Age is likely the deciding factor in this bout.

Give me Pennington and the cheap price.

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Randy’s Pick Raquel Pennington -133

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.