Darren Till vs. Robert Whittaker - 7/25/20 UFC on ESPN 14 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Steve Flynn-USA TODAY Sports
Robert Whittaker vs. Darren Till
Saturday, July 25, 2020 at 10:00 PM (Flash Forum)
The Line: Darren Till -105 / Robert Whittaker -115 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
Robert Whittaker and Darren Till fight Saturday during UFC on ESPN 14 at the Flash Forum.
Robert Whittaker enters this fight with a 20-5 record and has won 45 percent of his fights by knockout. Whittaker has won nine of his last 10 fights and is coming off an October loss to Israel Adesanya. Whittaker is averaging 4.77 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 39 percent. Whittaker is averaging 0.36 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 57 percent. Whittaker is coming off a loss at UFC 243 where he was finished in the second round and watched his nine-fight winning streak end. Whittaker wasn’t accurate enough with his shots and ended up eating 40 significant strikes from his opponent. Whittaker hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the second time in his career. Whittaker is a high volume, powerful striker who has knockout power, and he’s a black belt in Hapkido and Gōjū-ryū. Whittaker is more than willing to trade blows in the octagon, and despite sometimes being hit more than you’d like to see, he’s only been knocked out twice in his career. Whittaker also has a wrestling background and is a brown belt in BJJ, so he’s more than comfortable on the canvas and his conditioning is some of the best in the middleweight division. This will be Whittaker’s first career fight in Abu Dhabi.
Darren Till enters this fight with a 18-2-1 record and has won 56 percent of his fights by knockout. Till has won five of his last seven fights and is coming off a November win over Kelvin Gastelum. Till is averaging 2.41 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46 percent. Till is averaging 0.66 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 41 percent. Till won his return to middleweight at UFC 244 where he won a tight split decision despite landing less shots than his opponent at a higher percentage. Till landed 50 percent of his significant strikes and produced one of his two takedown attempts. Till is a balanced fighter who relies on Muay Thai, accurate stand up striking and has an effective ground and pound. Till has above-average power in both hands, has an effective uppercut and can drop anybody in this division at any moment. Till is also a purple belt in Luta Livre, so he’s a proven grappler as well and has won all six of his career decisions. This will be Till’s first career fight in Abu Dhabi.
This should be a fun stand up brawl between two of the better fighters in the division. The difference for me is that Till is a little more elusive on the feet and does a better job of hiding his shots. Whittaker probably has the power edge in this fight, but he can be a little more carless at times and it’s easier for his opponents to see what’s coming.
Till is a little more technical on the feet and that should be enough to give him the victory.