UFC Fight Island 7: Carlos Condit vs. Matt Brown Picks, Odds and Predictions

Carlos Condit and Matt Brown are the co-main event at UFC Fight Island 7 on Saturday, January 16, 2021 on ABC.

In this welterweight (170lb) bout, we have Carlos “The Natural Born Killer“ Condit vs. Matt “The Immortal” Brown. Condit is fighting out of Albuquerque, New Mexico. He made his UFC debut in 2010. He is entering this bout as a -170 favorite. He has a professional MMA record of 31-13-0. His current record in the UFC is 8-9-0. Condit has 15 wins by KO/TKO (48%), 13 submissions (42%), and 3 decisions (10%). 

Matt Brown is entering this fight as a +145 underdog. He is fighting out of Xenia, Ohio. His professional MMA record is 22-17-0. In Brown’s last bout, he lost to Miguel Baeza via TKO in the second round. Brown has 14 wins via KO/TKO (64%), 6 submissions (27%), and 2 decisions (9%).  

Carlos Condit and Matt Brown are true veterans of the sport. Brown has been a professional competitor since 2004 and he was on season seven of The Ultimate Fighter. Having said this, Brown has taken a lot of damage throughout his career. Also, Condit has taken a lot of damage during his career. Condit won his last fight against Court McGee. Prior to the McGee fight, Condit was on a five fight losing streak. Both of these fighters are past their primes, but this fight ultimately comes down to who has taken more damage in their career. Condit should be able to dominate this fight. There is no value betting on Condit as the -170 favorite. The value is in a prop bet.