UFC Fight Island 7: Austin Lingo vs. Jacob Kilburn Picks, Odds and Predictions

UFC Fight Island 7: Austin Lingo vs. Jacob Kilburn Picks, Odds and Predictions Photo by Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

Jacob Kilburn vs. Austin Lingo

Saturday, January 16, 2021 at 12:00 PM EST (Fight Island Abu Dhabi)

Austin Lingo -220 / Jacob Kilburn +185 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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Austin Lingo and Jacob Kilburn start off the year by fighting in Abu Dhabi at UFC Fight Island 7 on Saturday, January 16, 2021 on ESPN+.

This is the first card of 2021 and fight fans couldn’t be more excited for the UFC to comeback. Of course, there have been promotions holding fights such as Rizin Fighting Federation and various boxing promotions, but the UFC has completely dominated the fanbase of combat sports. The first fight of 2021 is Jason Kilburn vs. Austin Lingo. Lingo's last loss was to Youssef Zalal at UFC 247 in February of 2020. Jacob Kilburn is entering this fight with an 8-3-0 record. Kilburn’s last loss was to Billy Quarantillo in December of 2019. With both fighters coming off a loss, it will be interesting to see how they respond, especially because Lingo received his first professional loss in his last bout.

Kilburn was completely dominated by featherweight Billy Quarantillo in his last bout. Although Quarantillo has made quite the name for himself, Kilburn proved that he needs to vastly improve his ground game. The beating Kilburn took during this fight makes me wonder if he has changed as a fighter? UFC veteran, Josh Thompson, always says “After the beating I took from Tony Ferguson, I was never the same fighter. When I got hit in the gym after the fight, punches that didn’t normally hurt me started to hurt me.” Even though Kilburn is relatively young, the beating he took from Quarantillo can’t be underestimated. Kilburn does have a lot of positive attributes such as his footwork, speed, unpredictability, submission defense and his steel chin, but his takedown defense and ground game are his strongest weaknesses. This worries me against an opponent such as Austin Lingo. While Lingo isn’t necessarily known for his spectacular ground game, his ground and submission game can pose a significant threat to Kilburn. If Lingo has watched films of Kilburn in his last few fights, Lingo knows he will dominate him on the ground and that the fight will ultimately end up there at some point. The better question is if Lingo is going to start the fight out as a headhunter? If he does, Lingo may get caught by the powerful left hand of Kilburn. If Lingo stays composed throughout the fight and uses his plethora of skills to his advantage, he should have no problem dominating Kilburn on the ground and while standing up.

Wonder who the Top Experts Picked? Click Here To Find Out

This should be a fun and interesting fight to start off the year. I can’t wait to see which fighter bounces back and overcomes their last loss to get a win. Lingo has a significant ground and power advantage. If the fight remains on the feet, Kilburn has the striking advantage, has cleaner combinations, and his unpredictability makes his opponents feel uncomfortable, but Kilburn's takedown defense is his strongest weakness. If Lingo can get this fight to the ground, Kilburn is going to have an extremely difficult night.

I pick Lingo to dominate this fight.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Payne’s Pick Austin Lingo wins by Decision or Technical Decision +160

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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