UFC 260: Thomas Almeida vs Sean O'Malley Picks, Odds, and Predictions

UFC 260: Thomas Almeida vs Sean O'Malley Picks, Odds, and Predictions Photo by Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Sean O'Malley vs. Thomas Almeida

Saturday, March 27, 2021 at 10:00 PM (UFC APEX)

The Line Thomas Almeida +270 / Sean O'Malley -320 — Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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Sean O'Malley and Thomas Almeida fight Saturday in UFC 260 at the UFC APEX.

Sean O'Malley enters this fight with a 12-1 record and has won 67 percent of his fights by knockout. O'Malley’s has won five of his last six fights and is coming off an August loss to Marlon Vera. O'Malley is averaging 6.35 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 57 percent. O'Malley is averaging 1.05 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. O'Malley is coming off his first career loss at UFC 252 where he was knocked out in the first round. O'Malley suffered a leg injury in the bout and was quickly finished with ground and pound. It will be interesting to see how O'Malley responds from his first career defeat. O’Malley is a lengthy athlete with a kickboxing background and is an unpredictable highlight reel. O'Malley will throw anything at any moment and he has some of the cleanest boxing in the sport. With his creativity, length and power, few are going to be able to standup with O'Malley in this division. A purple belt in BJJ, O’Malley also has a deep background in grappling, so he’s far from this standup striker who is only comfortable landing bombs. At 26 years old, O'Malley is becoming one of the biggest names on the roster and is a must watch for MMA fans anywhere. This will be O'Malley’s seventh career fight in Las Vegas.

Thomas Almeida enters this fight with a 22-4 record and has won 77 percent of his fights by knockout. Almeida has lost four of his last five fights and is coming off an October loss to Jonathan Martinez. Almeida is averaging 5.39 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44 percent. Almeida is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Almeida is coming off a decision loss at UFC Fight Island 6 where he landed 64 total strikes and 37 percent of his significant strikes. Almeida has now lost each of his last three fights and still hasn’t won a fight since UFC Fight Night 100, which was four and a half years ago. Almeida is an athletic fighter with a brown belt in BJJ and a black belt in May Thai, and he has serious knockout power while defending takedowns well. Almeida wants a fight standing up where he can throw a wide variety of strikes, and 16 of his 20 career finishes have taken place in the first round. However, Almeida will be 30 years old in a few months and it’s key for him to right the ship before this losing stretch gets out of hand. This will be Almeida’s third career fight in Las Vegas.

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Almeida has the tools to win this fight, but it’s been a while since he’s looked good and he wasn’t all that accurate with his strikes his last time out. The hype train slows down a bit for O'Malley, but he’s still done more than enough to be trusted in this spot and who knows how that bout plays out if he didn’t get hurt. O'Malley still has some of the best boxing in the sport and he’ll have a considerable edge if he gets the standup fight he wants.

Give me O'Malley by knockout to shave down the expensive ML price.

 

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Randy’s Pick Sean O'Malley By KO / TKO

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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