UFC Vegas 25: Jiri Prochazka vs Dominick Reyes Picks, Odds, and Predictions

UFC Vegas 25: Jiri Prochazka vs Dominick Reyes Picks, Odds, and Predictions Photo by Handout Photo-USA TODAY Sports

Dominick Reyes vs. Jiri Prochazka

Saturday, May 1, 2021 at 10:00 PM (UFC Apex)

The Line: Jiri Prochazka -132 / Dominick Reyes +112 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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Dominick Reyes and Jiri Prochazka fight Saturday in UFC Vegas 25 at the UFC Apex.

Dominick Reyes enters this fight with a 12-2 record and has won 58 percent of his fights by knockout. Reyes has won five of his last seven fights and is coming off a September loss to Jan Błachowicz. Reyes is averaging 4.53 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 48 percent. Reyes is averaging 0.20 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 16 percent. Reyes is coming off a knockout loss at UFC 253 where he landed 21 total strikes. It’s a disappointing result for Reyes, who took Jon Jones down to the wire at UFC 247, and he now hopes to avoid three straight losses. Reyes is a big guy at 6’4” who has a blue belt in BJJ, and he uses his legs well to the point he’s produced clean knockout victories in the past. Reyes has excellent takedown defense and has some underrated pop in his hands as well. An athletic fighter who moves well in the octagon, Reyes has finished nine of his 12 victories and is one of the better strikers in this division. Still, it’s going to be interesting to see how Reyes responds after being stopped for the first time in his career. This will be Reyes’ third career fight in Las Vegas.

Jiri Prochazka enters this fight with a 27-3-1 record and has won 89 percent of his fights by knockout. Prochazka has won each of his last 11 fights and is coming off a July win over Volkan Oezdemir. Prochazka is averaging 5.67 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45 percent. Prochazka is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Prochazka won his debut at UFC 251 with a second round knockout that earned performance of the night honors. Prochazka has now won each of his last nine fights by knockout. Prochazka is a lengthy fighter at 6’4” with ridiculous power in his hands and an aggressive style where he stands in the pocket and throws until something lands. Prochazka seems to always be busy in the octagon and will throw in a flying knee every once in a while. Prochazka has decent takedown defense and an effective ground and pound if it does end up on the canvas. Prochazka has also shown great toughness, as he’s been dropped before and quickly gets up and keeps fighting like nothing happened. This will be Prochazka’s first career fight in the United States.

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Reyes is probably the more polished, balanced fighter of the two and has value in the slight underdog role. However, it’s hard to bet against Prochazka and this knockout streak he’s on right now. I don’t care who he’s fought or the fact he’s just one UFC fight in, what Prochazka is doing to opponents and the bombs he’s landing is scary. There’s also concerns with Reyes after being stopped his last time out for the first time. You never know how a fighter is going to respond to the first time being stopped.

Either way, give me Prochazka and the cheap price.

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Randy’s Pick Jiri Prochazka -132

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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