MMA

UFC 266: Cynthia Calvillo vs Jessica Andrade Picks, Odds, and Predictions

Jessica Andrade vs Cynthia Calvillo
September 25, 2021 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cynthia Calvillo +208 / Jessica Andrade -248
(Click here for latest betting odds)

Jessica Andrade and Cynthia Calvillo fight Saturday in UFC 266 at the T-Mobile Arena. Andrade enters this fight with a 21-9 record and has won 38 percent of her fights by knockout. Calvillo enters this fight with a 9-2-1 record and has won 44 percent of her fights by decision.

Andrade has split her last six fights and is coming off an August loss to Valentina Shevchenko. Andrade is averaging 6.15 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Andrade is averaging 2.97 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 55 percent. Andrade is coming off a knockout loss at UFC 261 where she landed 47 total strikes and ate 90 total strikes. Andrade has lost three of her last four fights and two of those losses have been knockouts. Andrade is a pressure fighter who usually gets the best of her opponent on her feet with constant wild punches and a lot of pop behind her strikes. Andrade is violent standing up and has a great ground and pound, and while she’s known for her striking, she’s also a successful takedown artist with seven submission victories on her resume. A black belt in BJJ, Andrade has the upper body strength to get a fight wherever she wants and her aggressiveness and brute power makes her one of the scarier fighters on the women’s side. This will be Andrade’s second career fight in Nevada.

Calvillo has split her last six fights and is coming off a November loss to Katlyn Chookagian. Calvillo is averaging 4.18 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 41 percent. Calvillo is averaging 1.85 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 44 percent. Calvillo is coming off a decision loss at UFC 255 where she landed 60 total strikes and produced a takedown. You could argue Calvillo should have won that bout, but she now hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time in her career. Calvillo is a polished striker with some pop in her hands and good timing on her counters, and she has a background in BJJ, wrestling and Muay Thai. Calvillo mixes in her takedowns between strikes and has produced submissions in three of her last six wins. While Calvillo is capable of winning a stand up striking battle, she’s most effective when she taps into her ground game and gets the most out of her athleticism. At now 34 years old, Calvillo has a bit of a brawler feel to her offensive game. This will be Calvillo’s fifth career fight in Nevada.

Calvillo will have her chances here, as she’s actually the bigger fighter, she is comfortable standing up and she has the BJJ and wrestling background to survive the canvas. However, Andrade is the stronger of the two, far more accurate with her strikes and seems like she’ll be able to dictate the pace of this fight.

This has a chance to be one of the better fights on the card, but I like Andrade to get the job done.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Jessica Andrade -248
Up to $5000 Risk Free Bet; Use code DAWGZRF

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.

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