UFC Fight Night 221 Pick – Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Prediction & Odds

Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan
March 11, 2023 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Petr Yan -260 / Merab Dvalishvili +200
(Get latest betting odds)

Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili face off on Saturday in a bantamweight showdown at UFC Fight Night 221 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Yan hits Dvalishvili during weigh-ins and that should only mean extra fireworks for this fight. 

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Odds

Petr Yan is the favorite sitting at -260 while Merab Dvalishvili is the underdog currently sitting at +220. 

Petr Yan Betting Preview

Petr Yan is still one of the best fighters in the bantamweight division, but he has lost two fights in a row. Two fights ago Yan faced off against Aljamain Sterling he lost by a split decision. In October of 2022 against Sean O’Malley he had six takedowns but was outstruck 84-58 and ended up losing by a split decision. Yan is averaging 5.31 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.03 significant strikes per minute. “No Mercy” is averaging 1.86 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 56 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 90 percent of his opponent’s takedown attempts. 

Merab Dvalishvili Betting Preview

On the other side of this fight is Merab Dvalishvili who sits with a 15-4 record overall and they have won eight fights in a row. Dvalishvili’s last fight came against Jose Aldo in August of 2022 and he was able to win by unanimous decision. He outstruck Aldo 57-38 on the way to the victory. Dvalishvili is averaging 4.21 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.31 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.54 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 40 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 78 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Even though Yan has lost two fights in a row, this is an easier fight for him, and he’s going to find success. Yan is going to wear down Dvalishvili and as the fight goes on, Dvalishvili isn’t going to be able to take the damage. It will be in the later rounds, but Yan is going to finish the fight. Back Yan to win this fight by finish. I’m also throwing a few dollars on Yan to finish the fight on the 4th round. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Petr Yan by Finish

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Shane Mickle

I have been following sports for as long as I can remember and started writing about them back in high school. My favorite sports include MLB, NBA, NFL, CFB, CBB, and the UFC. Follow me on Twitter at @shanemickle

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