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UFC on ESPN 43 Pick – Holly Holm vs Yana Santos Prediction & Odds

Yana Santos vs Holly Holm
March 25, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Holly Holm -245 / Yana Santos +205
(Get latest betting odds)

Holly Holm and Yana Santos face off on Saturday in a women’s bantamweight showdown for the co-main event of UFC on ESPN 43 at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. 

Holm vs Santos Odds

Holly Holm is the favorite sitting -245 while Yana Santos is the underdog sitting at +205. The total rounds is set at 2.5 with the over paying out -280. 

Holly Holm Betting Preview

Holly Holm comes into this fight with a 14-6 record overall and she will be in the UFC for a while after signing a new contract. Holm has won two of her last three fights and the loss was by a split decision. Holm’s last fight came against Ketlen Vieira and although she outstruck her opponent 96-85 it wasn’t enough as she lost by unanimous decision. Holm is averaging 3.24 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.86 significant strikes per minute. She is averaging 0.72 takedowns every 15 minutes and she is successful on 26 percent of her takedown attempts. She also stops 78 percent of her opponent’s takedown attempts. Holm isn’t much of a finisher anymore, but she’s going to try and wear down Santos here. 

Yana Santos Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Yana Santos who sits with a 14-6 record overall and she has also won two of her last three fights. In her last fight against Irele Aldana in July of 2021 it was late in the first round that she was finished by knockout. Santos is averaging 4.28 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.94 significant strikes per minute. She is averaging 1.53 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 53 percent of her takedown attempts. She also stops 50 percent of her opponents takedown attempts. She mostly wants to keep the fight on the feet and she is only averaging 0.2 takedowns every 15 minutes. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Holm is 41 years old, but she is still going to find success in this fight. Even at 41 years old she is the more talented athlete and she’s going to really put on a show here. Holm is going to apply the pressure on the Santos here, and she’s going to be dominant here. I don’t she gets the finish, but she’s going to get the win. Back Holm to win by decision. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Holly Holm by Decision

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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