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Good Sam 500: NASCAR Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 3/13/16

Good Sam 500

Good Sam 500: Sunday, March 13, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Phoenix International Raceway)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


We stay out west in Phoenix this week for the Good Sam 500, as we hope to pick a Nascar winner for the third time in the first four races. This race has been dominated by one driver the last two years, but there’s other good picks out there.

Let’s take a look at some guys to consider throwing onto your card.

Good Sam 500: NASCAR Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 3/13/16


Note: There were no odds listed at the time this article was published.

Paul Menard - One of the more underrated drivers in the Sprint Cup recently has been Paul Menard, a guy who has finished in the top-20 in eight of his last nine races. Menard finished 15th last week, and he had two top-15 finishes last week at the Phoenix International Raceway. It’s easy to overlook Menard given that he has just one Spring Cup victory, but he’s been consistently good recently and should give himself a shot this week given his history on this track. You should get great odds this week with Menard.

Kevin Harvick - The king of Phoenix has been Kevin Harvick, as he’s the two-time defending champion at the Good Sam 500 and also won this race in 2006. Jeff Gordon is the only other racer to win this race more than once. Harvick also has several victories and top-five finishes at the AdvoCare 500/Quicken Loans Race. The bottom line is that Harvick has flat out owned Phoenix over the years and has finished no worse than second in his last five races at the Phoenix International Raceway. Harvick is a must play this week regardless of what his odds are.

Austin Dillon - Austin Dillon has shown he can hang with the older racers in the field at 25 years old. Dillon had a fifth place finish last week in Las Vegas and has finished no worse than 11th this season. Dillon now has four straight top-15 finishes in the Sprint Cup. As for this track, Dillon finished 15th in last years CampingWorld.com 500. It’s clear Dillon is inching closer to getting his first Sprint Cup victory. Why not this week?

Martin Truex Jr. - While Harvick has had his hands in Phoenix, Martin Truex Jr. has been widely consistent at the Phoenix International Raceway. Truex finished seventh at last years CampingWorld.com 500 and 14th at the Quicken Loans Race for Heroes 500. In case you’re not counting, Truex has seven top-10 finishes at the Phoenix International Raceway in 20 tries. When you add the fact Truex has finished no worse than 11th in the first three tracks this season, you have to like the value with the 35-year-old from New Jersey.

Ryan Newman - Ryan Newman has a great chance to improve in the standings with a good showing this week. Newman hasn’t gotten off to the fast start we’re used to seeing from him, but he has finished no worse than 11th in his last five appearances at the Phoenix International Raceway. Newman finished third in this race last season. That also doesn’t include Newman’s victory in the 2010 Subway Fresh Fit 600. It’s been awhile since Newman has won a Sprint Cup race. There’s a decent chance that drought comes to an end this week.

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