GEICO 500: NASCAR Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 4/29/18
The 2018 GEICO 500
GEICO 500: Sunday, April 29, 2018 at 2:00 pm (Talladega Superspeedway)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
We make our first of two scheduled trips to Alabama for the GEICO 500, an event that debuted in 1970 and is one of the faster races of the season. The average speed of this race has not gone below 140 mph in each of the last 13 years. Like years past, we’re riding a nice little winning streak with our suggested picks, so let’s keep keep cashing those tickets.
Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports
Here are five drivers to consider throwing on this week’s card. (Odds weren’t released when this article was posted)
Kyle Busch - Another week, another event where you can’t leave Kyle Busch off your betting ticket. Busch has now won each of the last three weeks and hasn’t finished below third place in each of his last seven races. Busch has won this race just once back in 2008, but he’s finished third or better each of the last two years and has finished fifth or better in five of his last 11 appearances at the Talladega Superspeedway overall. We’re just blindly betting on Busch at this point until he stops putting money in our pocket.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. - Ricky Stenhouse Jr. hasn’t had a great season and has been an afterthought for much of the year, but he did win this race last year, which is one of two career victories in the Monster Cup Series. Stenhouse has a thing for Talladega, as he’s produced top-10 finishes in five of his last eight appearances. Stenhouse hopes to win this race back-to-back years for the first time since Jeff Gordon back in 2004-05. This track brings the best out of the 30-year-old and you can probably get him at a nice price this week.
Brad Keselowski - Brad Keselowski got back in the top-10 last week after a couple of hiccups, and he’s now finished in the top-10 in five of his last eight races. Keselowski is a three-time winner at this event, which includes most recently in 2016. Overall, Keselowski has finished seventh or better in five of his last seven appearances at the Talladega Superspeedway and has won five times at this track in the Monster Cup Series. Keselowski has a really good chance to get his first victory of the season.
Paul Menard - If you’re looking for a true dark horse who is probably bringing in very high odds, you can try your hand with Paul Menard. Menard hasn’t won a race in years and hasn’t had a top-10 finish since Las Vegas, but he has finished ninth or better in three of his last four appearances in the GEICO 500. Last year, Menard had an average finish in Talladega of 10.5 and has finished no worse than 13th in seven of his last nine appearances here overall. Given some of his other finishes, this is one of Menard’s better tracks as of late. With the price you’re probably going to get, Menard could be worth the shot in the dark.
Clint Bowyer - Clint Bowyer has finished no worse than ninth in each of his last four races and has a top-10 finish in six of the nine races this season. Bowyer has never won the first race in Talladega, but he’s finished no worse than seventh in five of his last eight appearances in this particular race. Bowyer has a top-10 finish in five of his last nine appearances at the Talladega Superspeedway overall. Bowyer is a solid bet this week given his recent consistency and the fact he’s usually always in the running when he takes this track.