Overton's 400: NASCAR Preview, Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 7/1/18
The 2018 Overton's 400
Overton's 400: Sunday, July 1, 2018 at 2:30 pm (Chicagoland Speedway)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
It feels like we had every driver in the top five last week except the winner. While there’s no moral victories in sports betting, it does show that we’re knocking on the door and victory lane isn’t too far behind. This week we make our first and only trip to Illinois for the Overton's 400. An event that debuted back in 2001, this race has been owned pretty much by four drivers. Enough of all that though, let’s pick a winner and end last weeks frustration.
Here are five drivers to consider throwing on this week’s card. (Odds weren’t released when this article was posted)
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Martin Truex Jr. - Martin Truex Jr. has won two of the last three races and has finished fourth or better in four of his last five races overall. Truex is also the two-time defending champion at the Chicagoland Speedway and has a chance to join Tony Stewart as the only driver to win this event three times. Overall, Truex has finished fifth or better in 19 of his last 26 races since his last appearance at this track. I learned my lesson last week. Don’t leave Truex off your card given his ridiculous form.
Brad Keselowski - Brad Keselowski is still looking for his first victory of the season and has done a wonderful job of burning a hole in our pocket. Still, now isn’t the time to give up on the guy. Keselowski has finished no worse than eighth in his last seven appearances at the Chicagoland Speedway, and that includes wins in 2012 and 2014. Keselowski also hasn’t gone this long in a single season without a victory since 2013. Combine that with his history here, and Keselowski is due.
Kevin Harvick - Kevin Harvick didn’t do us any favors last week finishing runner-up, but he has now finished runner-up or won in four of his last six races. Hard to argue against that success. As for Chicago, Harvick won here back in 2001 and 2002, and while those victories are ages ago, he has finished fifth or better in four of his last seven appearances at the Chicagoland Speedway. This should be another week where Harvick is giving himself a chance at victory lane in the last few laps.
Ryan Blaney - It’s been well over a year since Ryan Blaney has won his first race, but he’s quietly provided some betting value as he’s finished in the top-10 in three of his last six events. This is another race where there could be some value on the 24-year-old, as Blaney has raced this track just twice and has an average finish of 7.5. Blaney also finished runner-up here a couple of years ago in the Xfinity Series. Don’t sleep on the youngster getting his first victory of the season.
Jimmie Johnson - Every time I convince myself I’m done putting Jimmie Johnson on the card, I find a reason to give him another shot. This is the longest Johnson has gone in his career without getting a victory in a single season, and with a lot of finishes being outside of the top-10, oddsmakers are probably showing him little to no respect. The one glimmer of hope is that Johnson has finished eighth or better in 10 of his 16 appearances at the Chicagoland Speedway and has finished no worse than 12th in each of his last seven tries. I still have a hard time believing that one of the more accomplished drivers on the planet just fell off a cliff this quickly. I’m giving Johnson another chance.