Federated Auto Parts 400: NASCAR Preview, Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 9/22/18
Federated Auto Parts 400: Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 7:30 pm (Richmond Raceway)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
We make our third trip to Virginia for the second playoff event in the Federated Auto Parts 400. This event debuted in 1958 and will be the last night race of the year. We hit last week with Brad Keselowski and odds of +1000, so let’s stay in victory lane and finish the NASCAR season with some nice payouts...
Here are five drivers to consider throwing on this week’s card.
Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports
Brad Keselowski - We obviously can’t keep expecting Brad Keselowski to continue winning at this clip, but the guy has won the last three races and has finished second or better in four of his last five races. Keselowski has countless victories in Richmond in the Xfinity Series and has finished eighth or better in six of his last nine appearances at the Richmond Raceway in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. Keselowski and +750 odds once again feels like a steal with the way he’s been driving the last month.
Denny Hamlin - Denny Hamlin has gone over a year without a victory and is coming off a poor showing in Las Vegas. However, Hamlin has dominated Richmond over the years, as he’s finished no worse than sixth in each of his last six appearances at the Richmond Raceway, and he’s a three-time winner at this event. Overall, Hamlin has top-10 finishes in 10 of his last 15 appearances at this track. There’s no way you can turn down Hamlin and +850 odds this weekend.
Kevin Harvick - Kevin Harvick has top-five finishes in six of his last nine races and usually bounces back in a big way after finishing outside of the top-10. In fact, Harvick hasn’t finished outside of the top-10 in back-to-back weeks yet this season. As for Richmond, Harvick has finished fifth or better in six of his last eight appearances and is a two-time winner at this particular event. Taking all that into consideration, Harvick and +450 odds is still a decent play.
Joey Logano - We made 10 times our money last week, so let’s try our hand with Joey Logano and +1150 odds this time around. Logano has had a strong month, finishing fourth or better in three of his last four races, and he has top-10 finishes in 10 of his last 16 races overall. Logano has finished eighth or better in nine of his last 11 appearances in Richmond, which includes two wins in the first Richmond race since 2014. Given his current form and his history at this track, Logano and these odds has to be the best play on the board.
Kyle Larson - Kyle Larson has finished third or better in three of his last four races and is the defending champion at this event. Larson not only won this race last year, but he was the runner-up in 2016 as well. In his last four appearances at the Richmond Raceway, Larson has an average finish of sixth place. Given how he’s been knocking on the door of victory lane and has consistently shown up at this event, Larson and +1100 odds is a strong play.