Quaker State 400 - 7/12/20 NASCAR Cup Series Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports
2020 Quaker State 400
Sunday, July 12, 2020 at 2:30 PM (Kentucky Speedway)
The Line: -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
We make our first and only trip to Kentucky on Sunday for the 2020 Quaker State 400 in the NASCAR Cup Series.
We’re coming off another auto racing winner last week with Kevin Harvick cashing at +440 odds. We look to continue this hot streak as we head to Bristol for All-Star weekend.
Here are five drivers to consider throwing on Sunday’s card.
Martin Truex Jr., +660 - Martin Truex Jr. has been in a bit of a funk lately, finishing 10th or worse in four of his last five races and is coming off his worst showing of the year last week in Indiana. The good news is Truex has won the Quaker State 400 two of the last three years and has top-10 finishes in five of his last eight trips overall at the Kentucky Speedway. Look for a bounce back week from the 40-year-old.
Brad Keselowski, +770 - Brad Keselowski found his form last week when he had chances to win, and he now has top-five finishes in five of his last 11 races. Keselowski is the all-time leader at the Quaker State 400 with three victories and he’s finished seventh or better in six of the nine races overall. Keselowski also has three victories at the Kentucky Speedway in the Xfinity Series, so it’s quite clear he enjoys this track. This is a solid, solid bet with these odds.
Kurt Busch, +2000 - Kurt Busch hasn’t won a race this year and right when it looked like he was turning the corner, he puts together three straight finishes outside of the top-10. Busch is losing betting value by the week, but he is the defending champion at the Quaker State 400 and has finished sixth or better in four of his last seven trips at the Kentucky Speedway. If there was a race to get Busch back on track, it would be this one.
Aric Almirola, +2500 - Aric Almirola has just one top-10 finish at the Kentucky Speedway in the NASCAR Cup Series and doesn’t have a ton of experience on this track in the Xfinity Series. We’re also inching closer to Almirola not winning a race in two years. With all that said, Almirola is the hottest driver on the planet right now with an average finish of 3.8 in his last five races. In terms of form, it doesn’t get much better than Almirola right now. I’ll throw him a bone with a chance to make 25 times my money.
Denny Hamlin, +770 - Denny Hamlin is another guy who is driving his tail off and has produced top-five finishes in six of his last nine races. Also, the last four times Hamlin didn’t finish inside the top-10, he followed it up with a top-five finish, which includes a victory in Miami. Hamlin finished fifth in this race last year and ha top-five finishes in four of his last eight trips at the Kentucky Speedway. Plenty of reason to like Hamlin this week and his odds provide a little more meat on the bone over some of the other names.