Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers - 11/13/13
Los Angeles Lakers (3-5) at Denver Nuggets (2-4)
NBA Basketball: Wednesday, November 13, 2013 at 9:00 pm (Pepsi Center)
The Line: Denver Nuggets -10 -- Over/Under: 205.5 See the Latest Odds
The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers sqaure off from the Mile High City on Wednesday night in prime time NBA action.
Head to head, the Lakers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver while the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Lakers on the other hand are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
I really don't know what to make of this Los Angeles Lakers squad so far this season. One night they are getting blown out to the Minnesota Timberwolves by the tune of 23 points and then the next game they look like the Lakers of old, cruising past the New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points. Of course this wouldn't be happening with Kobe Bryant on the court, but until he returns, tread carefully with Los Angeles. They have played nine games so far this season and six of those have been decided by double-digits (four losses by 11 points or greater and two wins by 13 points or more.)
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets are coming off a 100-81 win in Utah on Monday, but that doesn't mean much when the Toronto Raptors also beat them by more than 20 points. Even when Galo and Chandler return, this is not a playoff team in my eyes, they just lost too much in the offseason and they have gone from having one of the most entertaining teams last season to now having just a weird mish-mash of players that don't really fit together.
What exactly has Denver done this season to justify being a double-digit favorite here? I would take the Lakers if they weren't such a Jekyll and Hyde outfit.
I know these teams have changed a lot since last season, but I can't ignore the fact that their average total points scored in their last four meetings is a whopping 227. As far as Denver is concerned, they look like they are starting to pick it up on the offensive end as they have averaged 104 points over their last three games. LA is a bit more up and down on the offensive end, but they are giving up 105.2 points per game, which ranks 27th in the league. I'll take the over, but I'm not in love with it by any stretch of the imagination...
Dan’s Pick: Over 205.5
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Chris Humphreys-USA TODAY Sports