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Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat - 11/29/13

Miami Heat (12-3) at Toronto Raptors (6-8)

NBA Basketball: Friday, November 29, 2013 at 7:00 pm (Air Canada Centre)

The Line: Toronto Raptors +5.5 -- Over/Under: 196.5 See the Latest Odds


Lebron James and the Miami Heat travel to Toronto to face the Raptors on Friday night.

Head to head, the Heat are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto while the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U loss, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 2-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Heat on the other hand are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a losing S.U record and 25-10 ATS in their last 35 road games.

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Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat - 11/29/13

Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sport

Haven’t we seen this before? Less than three weeks ago, the Miami Heat defeated the Raptors at home 104-95 as five point favorites. In fact, the last three times these two teams have meet as been in Toronto and Heat have walked away winners each time by an average of 13.6 points. So what’s different this time around? Maybe Vegas knew that Lebron James was hosting a big thanksgiving shindig at his house yesterday (which he actually was) for all his teammates and they were going to stuff there guts full of Turkey, which caused them to come out sluggish against the Raptors. Who knows.

I’ve been pretty harsh on Toronto this season, but I actually really liked them on Tuesday night hosting a slumping Brooklyn Nets team. So what do they do? Of course they end up losing the game by two points despite having a chance to send the game into overtime in the last 10 seconds. Instead of going for the game-tying two, they drew up a play for Amir Johnson to shoot a corner three-pointer. You gotta love those Toronto Raptors.

There’s no doubt the public will be all over Miami in this one, and so they should be. The Heat have covered in 25 of their last 35 road games and they are facing a team that doesn’t play well at home against the elite teams in the league (Portland, Chicago and Miami). Knowing my luck, Toronto will probably play the game of their season and come out with the victory tonight...

Dan’s Pick: Miami -5.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP

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