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Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat - 12/5/13

Miami Heat (14-4) at Chicago Bulls (7-9)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, December 5, 2013 at 9:30 pm (United Center)

The Line: Chicago Bulls +4.5 -- Over/Under: 189.5 See the Latest Odds


Lebron James and the Miami Heat collide with the Chicago Bulls on Thursday night TNT from the United Center.

Head to head, the Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings while the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the 5 meetings. The Bulls are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Heat on the other hand are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home, 26-10 ATS in their last 36 road games and 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

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Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat - 12/5/13

John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Spo

The Chicago Bulls have usually played the Miami Heat tough over the last couple of years, especially at home, but you would be hard pressed to pick them tonight with any confidence. Let’s look through the facts. The Bulls come into tonight’s showdown losers of six of their last seven outings, granted, six of those games came on the road. Having said that, Chicago has only covered the spread in 17 of their last 52 games at the United Center, so I don’t think it really matters if they play at home or on the road. They will be without Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler obviously, but let’s not forget that players like Nate Robinson and Marco Bellineli are gone from last season’s team, two players that always seemed to give the Heat some trouble.

As far as the Heat are concerned, they are coming off a 107-97 loss to the visiting Detroit Pistons on Tuesday night and they are 5-0 against the spread when coming off a double-digit loss at home. Miami did drop their first two road games of the season at Philly and Brooklyn, but since then they have won five-straight by an average of 13.8 points per game. In fact, the Heat has covered the spread in 26 of their last 36 games away from home, which is a pretty amazing feat if you think about it.

I could see a scenario where Loul Deng and Carlos Boozer each score 20 points and the Bulls keep this close, but it’s doubtful. Miami is coming off a rare double-digit loss and the fact that they have covered in 26 of their last 36 road games just shows you how dangerous this team is away from home. There’s no doubt the public will be pounding the Heat here, but can you really blame them? Bottom line: I trust Lebron James and the Heat on the road much more than I do this short-handed Bulls squad at home.....

Dan’s Pick: Miami -4.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP


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