Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat - 1/15/14
Miami Heat (27-10) at Washington Wizards (17-19)
NBA Basketball: Wednesday, January 15, 2014 at 7:00 pm (Verizon Center)
The Line: Washington Wizards +5.5 -- Over/Under: 197 See the Latest Odds
Lebron James and the Miami Heat travel to the nations capital to face John Wall and the Washington Wizards.
Head to head, the Heat are 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Washington while the road team is 25-9-1 ATS in the last 35 meetings. The Wizards are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, but just 0-4 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. The Heat on the other hand are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, but just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Since the 'Big Three' of Miami came together in the summer of 2011, Iv'e never really been one to bet or back the Heat, mainly because of their inflated lines due to the public, but I think this is a good spot to take them. Why? Because they are coming off back-to-back road losses to both New York teams last week. Another big reason why I like them, and this may come a little bit from left field, has to do with an article I read about Lebron James on ESPN today. In short, the article talked about James and how his numbers are down from this season and the possible reasoning behind this. Anyhow, at the bottom of the article, LBJ goes on to say that he is aware of all of the stats and this quote really stuck out at me. "We'll see Wednesday how I'm coasting. You'll see the numbers I'll put up on Wednesday. Just watch". Take of it what you will, but I think James and the Heat are set for a big game tonight.
As for Washington, they have been a big disappointment in the New Year, losing five of eight despite coming off a 102-88 win in Chicago in their last outing. Since defeating the Detroit Pistons in their last home game of 2013, the Wizards have lost four straight at the Verizon Center by an average of 12 points per game. They also lost in Indiana recently 93-66, which was the lowest scoring output of any team this season.
If the Heat weren't coming off two straight losses, then I might re-think my pick. But as it stands, I think this is a good spot to take Lebron James and company. If you're into prop bets, then taking James to score over 27.5 points seems like a really solid bet given the comments in that article. I for one will be getting on this....
Dan’s Pick: Miami -5.5
Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP
Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports