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Detroit Pistons vs. New Orleans Pelicans - 1/24/14

New Orleans Pelicans (16-25) at Detroit Pistons (17-25)

NBA Basketball: Friday, January 24, 2014 at 7:30 pm (The Palace of Auburn Hills)

The Line: Detroit Pistons -4 -- Over/Under: 202.5 See the Latest Odds


The Detroit Pistons hope to turn things around with a visit from Anthony Davis and the New Orleans Pelicans.

Head to head, the home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Pistons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Pelicans on the other hand are 28-11-1 ATS in their last 40 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, but just 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 road games and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 2 days rest.

Detroit Pistons vs. New Orleans Pelicans - 1/24/14

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Want some advice? Don’t bet on or against this Detroit Pistons team until the foreseeable future. They are as unpredictable as they come in the NBA, winning in places like Miami and Indiana, then losing at home to the likes of Memphis and Utah by over 20 points each. What did the Pistons do in their last outing on Wednesday night? They travelled to Milwaukee and came away with a 104-101 loss, which was only the Bucks eighth win all season long. I used to be a Detroit fan back in the day, but not anymore, and thank god. I feel for you Pistons fans, having to put up with this after the last couple of years. Hopefully things will turn around soon, but I just don’t see it with the way this roster is constructed at the moment. Trade Greg Monroe for a decent shooting guard or small forward already.

As you might have guessed, I’m not taking either the Pistons or the Pelicans (just 10-22-1 against the spread in their last 33 road games) in this one, but instead a total. Here we have two very poor defensive teams going head-to-head as Detroit has given up 100 points or more in 17 of their last 22 matches. They have allowed 105 points or greater in 15 of those contests and 110 or more in 10 of those. They are just a horrible defensive squad, especially given all the size and athleticism they can throw at you down low. As far as New Orleans is concerned, they have given up 100 points or more in seven of their past nine contests and let the Sacramento Kings drop 114 on their home floor on Tuesday night.

Offensively, the Pelicans are obviously struggling without Jrue Holiday and Ryan Anderson, but they are still right their scoring around 95-100 points every night while Detroit has gone over 100 in three straight and five of their last six overall. Given that the Pistons score a lot and also give up a ton of points, it’s no surprise that the over is 20-8 in their last 28 home games and 37-14 in their last 51 overall. I wouldn’t bet on this game at all because I don’t trust either of these teams, but the over is the play here...

Dan’s Pick: Over 202.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP


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