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Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 2/1/14

Minnesota Timberwolves (23-23) at Atlanta Hawks (24-21)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, February 1, 2014 at 7:30 pm (Philips Arena)

The Line: Atlanta Hawks +1.5 -- Over/Under: 208.5 See the Latest Odds


The Atlanta Hawks welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves to town on Saturday night.

Head to head, the Timberwolves are 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 4-0-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta while the road team is 8-1-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the underdog is 10-4-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, but just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Timberwolves on the other hand are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall, but just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.

While the over looked tempting at first sight, it no longer looks that way when you realise that Minnesota has scored just 88 and 90 points in their last two games without Nikola Pekovic, who is sidelined with a sore right Achilles. With just Kevin Love and Kevin Martin forced to carry the majority of the offense, the Timberwolves have clearly struggled without the bruising center, which is part of the reason I'm taking the Atlanta Hawks in this one.

It also helps that the Hawks have been really good at home this season, winning 15 of a possible 21 games and covering the spread in 14 of those. While Atlanta is coming of a blowout loss to San Antonio in their last game at Philips Arena, they did win their previous three there against Miami, Houston and Indiana. Meanwhile, the T-Wolves are coming off a 94-90 home loss against the Memphis Grizzlies last night, but they have still won five of seven overall.

Minnesota has actually won three of four on the road which include games at Golden State and Chicago, but Pekovic was playing in all of those matches. Both teams are playing on a back-to-back, but the T-Wolves will be playing their third game in four nights. But if I'm honest, Hotlanta has played three straight on the road, so I don't see much of an edge for either side in that respect. I have to take the Hawks here given their supreme record at home and the fact that Minny is just 1-11 in games decided by four points or fewer this season...

Dan’s Pick: Atlanta -1.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP

Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 2/1/14

Kevin Liles-USA TODAY Sports

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