Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat - 3/4/14
Miami Heat (42-14) at Houston Rockets (40-19)
NBA Basketball: Tuesday, March 4, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Toyota Center)
The Line: Houston Rockets -1 -- Over/Under: 211.5 See the Latest Odds
LeBron James and the Miami Heat travels to Texas on Tuesday night to face the Houston Rockets in a possible NBA finals preview.
The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. The Heat on the other hand are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games, but just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Maybe my LeBron James MVP wager isn't dead after all. After his recent dominante play, which includes that game-winner in Golden State right before the All-Star break and dropping a career-high 61 points on the Charlotte Bobcats just last night, Bron is right back in the conversation with Kevin Durant with just over 20 games remaining in the regular season. I have a fairly large sum of money invested in James winning his fifth MVP award, which I placed at the start of the season, so I'm pretty invested in this battle that he and Durant have got going on right now. Regardless, it's going to be an interesting and exciting couple of months.
Right, let's get onto the game, in which I have only seen one or two lines posted, so will go with that one. While I don't think there is much value taking either team at the moneyline, the over looks intriguing. Just look at their last five meetings, here are the totals in order from most recent to last: 222 (this season), 223, 185, 244 and 244. So all but one of their last five have gone over 220 total points and that one game which sticks out like a sore thumb, featured staters like Dexter Pittman, James Jones, Norris Cole and Marcus Camby. Enough said. The over is also 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Houston.
Both teams are on a tear on the offensive end of late as the Rockets are coming off 118-point outing against the visiting Detroit Pistons on Saturday night and they have topped 115 points or more in three of their last four overall. As far as the Heat are concerned, they just dropped 124 against the soon-to-be Hornets last night, thanks to 61 big ones from LBJ and are averaging 114.5 over their last three contests.
It will be interesting to see how LeBron responds after his performance last night. Houston really has no one to stop him, but you would expect something around the 30-point mark because if recent meetings and form are anything to go by, this is going to be a high scoring affair...
Dan’s Pick: Over 211
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