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Denver Nuggets vs. Detroit Pistons - 3/19/14

Detroit Pistons (25-41) at Denver Nuggets (30-37)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, March 19, 2014 at 9:00 pm (Pepsi Center)

The Line: Denver Nuggets -7 -- Over/Under: 219 See the Latest Odds


The Detroit Pistons and Denver Nuggets will meet for the second and final time this season. The Pistons won 126-109 back in early February.

 The Pistons have now lost five of their last seven games and have only won two games in the month of March. On the season, the Pistons average 100.7 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allow 103.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting. The Pistons have allowed 12 of their last 14 opponents to score 100-plus points. Offensively, Josh Smith is averaging 20.2 points on 43.2 percent shooting in his last five games. The Detroit Pistons are 28-37-1 ATS overall and 13-16-1 ATS on the road.

Denver Nuggets vs. Detroit Pistons - 3/19/14

Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

The Nuggets have won three of their last four games, which includes a surprising 110-100 win over the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday. The Nuggets have now won five of their last six games when topping 100 points. On the season, the Nuggets average 103.6 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allow 105.5 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Kenneth Faried is averaging 21.6 points and 10.2 rebounds, while shooting 60 percent from the field in his last five games. The Denver Nuggets are 30-37 ATS overall and 13-20 ATS on their home court.

The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

I’m a little concerned about a letdown factor with the Nuggets, but it’s been nearly impossible to trust the Pistons this season. Detroit plays absolutely no defense and has been an automatic fade on the road over the last month.

As long as this number stays reasonable, I suggest backing the Nuggets on their home court. 

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