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Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons - 3/28/14

Miami Heat (48-22) at Detroit Pistons (26-45)

NBA Basketball: Friday, March 28, 2014 at 7:30 pm (The Palace of Auburn Hills)

The Line: Detroit Pistons -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons will play for the fourth and final time this season on Friday. The Heat lead the series 2-1.

The Heat have lost three of their last five games, including an 84-83 loss to the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday. On the season, the Heat average 103.1 points on 50.4 percent shooting and allow 98.3 points on 45.6 percent shooting. LeBron James has scored 30-plus points in two consecutive games, and Ray Allen is probable for this matchup, as he missed the Pacers game with the flu. The Heat have failed to score triple digits in their last five games, and they’re shooting just 30.9 percent from downtown during that stretch. The Miami Heat are 31-37-2 ATS overall and 17-18-1 ATS on the road.

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons - 3/28/14

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Pistons have lost six of their last seven games and have only won three games in the month of March. On the season, the Pistons average 100.9 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allow 103.7 points on 46.7 percent shooting. The Pistons have lost 11 straight games when allowing 100 or more points. Offensively, point guard Brandon Jennings is averaging seven assists and is shooting 41.9 percent from three in his last five games. The Pistons have lost seven of their last 10 home games SU and are 31-39-1 ATS overall and 15-22 ATS at home.

The Heat are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Pistons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams, while the Heat are 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit.

While the Heat have been unpredictable all season, the Pistons have been absolutely brutal. You should see a motivated Miami team that comes in and covers the number.

I’ll take Miami and the chalk. 

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