Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings - 3/29/14
Sacramento Kings (25-46) at Dallas Mavericks (43-30)
NBA Basketball: Saturday, March 29, 2014 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -10 -- Over/Under: 210 See the Latest Odds
The Dallas Mavericks will host the Sacramento Kings on Saturday night. This is the third of four scheduled meetings this season, and the series is currently split.
The Kings have lost two in a row and five of their last seven games, which includes a 94-81 loss on Friday to the Oklahoma City Thunder. On the season, Sacramento averages 101.3 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allows 103.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting. While defense has been an issue for the Kings all season, Sacramento is one of the best rebounding teams in the country with an average of 44.3 boards per game. In fact, DeMarcus Cousins has grabbed double-digit rebounds in 11 of his 13 games in the month of March. The Sacramento Kings are 32-37-2 ATS overall and 17-16-2 ATS on the road.
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The Mavericks head into this matchup losers in three of their last five games, which includes a 109-103 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday. On the season, the Mavericks average 104.9 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allow 102.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Much like the Kings, the Mavericks have had defensive issues throughout the season, but they’ve also topped 100 points in 11 of their last 13 games. Monta Ellis is averaging 21.8 points on 44.8 percent shooting in his last five games. The Dallas Mavericks are 40-33 ATS overall and 17-20 ATS at home.
The Kings are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mavericks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these two teams.
While Dallas is on a mission to clinch a playoff spot and should win this game on its home court, a double-digit spread is simply too high. The Kings have done a solid job of covering the number lately, and I think that trend continues on no days’ rest.