Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers - 4/3/14
Dallas Mavericks (44-31) at Los Angeles Clippers (53-22)
NBA Basketball: Thursday, April 3, 2014 at 10:30 pm (STAPLES Center)
The Line: Los Angeles Clippers -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: FSW2, TNT
The Dallas Mavericks and Los Angeles Clippers will square off for the fourth and final time during the regular season on Thursday. The Clippers lead the series 3-0.
The Mavericks are tied with the Memphis Grizzlies and Phoenix Suns for the final two playoff spots in the West. The Mavs have not helped themselves by losing four of their last seven games. On the season, the Mavericks average 105.1 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allow 102.8 points on 46.6 percent shooting. The Mavericks have scored more than 100 points in nine of their last 10 games, the problem is that they’re allowing teams to shoot 49.2 percent from the field in their last five games. The Dallas Mavericks are 40-35 ATS overall and 23-13 ATS on the road.
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The Clippers ended a five-game road trip with a come from behind victory over the Suns on Wednesday. Los Angeles is still chasing the Oklahoma City Thunder for the second seed in the West and have now on four straight games. On the season, the Clippers average 107.6 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allow 100.5 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Backup point guard Darren Collision has scored 20-plus points in back-to-back games. The Los Angeles Clippers are 42-32-1 ATS overall and 18-18 ATS at home.
The Mavericks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference. The Mavericks are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings, including 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles.
The Mavs need this game more than the Clippers, while the Clippers are coming off a tough matchup against the Suns where they had to comeback down double digits in the fourth quarter. I think Dallas wins SU, but I'll take the points.